Weekly Local weather and Vitality Information Roundup #373

The Week That Was: 2019-08-24 (August 24, 2019)
Delivered to You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org)
The Science and Environmental Coverage Undertaking

Quote of the Week: “I realized very early the distinction between understanding the title of one thing and understanding one thing.” ― Richard P. Feynman

Variety of the Week: 116 Stations


By Ken Haapala, President, Science and Environmental Coverage Undertaking (SEPP)

August Fad II – Amazon Burning: Some organizations thought-about scientific are feeding the favored press with extremely doubtful claims. Final week, TWTW mentioned NOAA’s declare that July 2019 “was the most popular month measured on Earth since information started in 1880.” The report is very questionable. Additionally, different commentators made very applicable remarks and Tony Heller demonstrated how the method of homogenization distorts the floor report. Additionally, the great atmospheric report demonstrates that NOAA’s claims are unfounded. NOAA is dropping scientific credibility by making such claims.

This week, the press fad is the burning of the Amazon. For instance, the newspaper The Hill ran articles stating:

“As wildfires proceed to engulf the Amazon rainforest at a report tempo…”

“Forward of the Group of Seven summit in France, French President Emmanuel Macron known as the scenario in Brazil an ‘worldwide disaster’ and vowed to make it a precedence level of debate.”

NASA’s Earth Observatory has an animation of fires on earth from March 2000 to June 2019. It’s a cartoon depicting the place fires are occurring. As NASA states:

“The hearth maps present the areas of actively burning fires world wide on a month-to-month foundation, based mostly on observations from the Average Decision Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) on NASA’s Terra satellite tv for pc.”

Jesse Ferrell of AccuWeather said the scenario clearly:

“The Earth is burning, but it surely at all times has been.

“1000’s of fires are frequently burning throughout the Earth on daily basis of yearly, they usually at all times have. They’ve an animation of the final 20 years of this knowledge. You received’t see a lot of a change, besides that fires are worse in some areas and higher in others from yr to yr.”

“You may’t truly “see” the fires or the injury they do, wanting on the globe from area.

“So why does it appear to be the entire Earth is on hearth within the maps above? That’s an excellent query, and it results in exaggeration of the true dimension of what’s burning. As I perceive it, this knowledge consists of “heat pixels.” This implies the satellite tv for pc has detected what it thinks could possibly be a wildfire based mostly on its temperature, and I assume, different algorithms. NASA warns on their web site:

“’Don’t be fooled by sizes of a number of the vibrant splotches on these maps. The colours signify a depend of the variety of fires noticed inside a 1,000-square-kilometer space.’

“This implies you’re not taking a look at precise fires, you’re taking a look at pixels which signify the variety of satellite-detected fires inside 1,000 square-kilometers of a location, and that knowledge could be represented with smaller pixels, however in case you zoom out to indicate the entire Earth, as above, you wouldn’t be capable to see them. It’s analogous to taking a look at a map of NWS Storm Spotters, the place every automobile is the scale of Rhode Island. While you zoom manner out, it can appear to be cities are clogged with automobiles, however the actuality is automobile is lots smaller than Rhode Island, and if you get right down to that degree, they’re very far aside.”

Apparently, many journalists have problem understanding the distinction between animation and actuality. See hyperlinks beneath Worry of Hearth and Speaking Higher to the Public – Make issues up.


The Greenhouse Impact – NOAA Fashions: The influential 1979 Charney Report printed by the Nationwide Academy of Sciences said doubling of carbon dioxide (CO2) would end in a web improve in temperatures of three ºC plus or minus 1.5 ºC (about 6 ºF plus or minus three ºF) This determine has been retained for 40 years by means of 5 main evaluation stories and plenty of minor stories by the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Local weather Change (IPCC) and 4 Nationwide Assessments by what’s now known as US World Change Analysis Program (USGCRP). But there was no rigorous testing of those findings by these authorities teams in opposition to impartial knowledge.

The Charney Report didn’t take a look at its conclusions in opposition to impartial knowledge, as an alternative it relied on fashions. It states:

The impartial research of the CO2 /local weather drawback that now we have examined vary from calculations with easy radiative-convective fashions to zonally and vertically averaged heat-balance fashions with horizontally diffusive warmth change and snow-ice albedo feedbacks to full-fledged three-dimensional common circulation fashions (GCM’s) involving a lot of the related bodily processes. Our confidence in our conclusion doubling of CO2 will finally end in important temperature will increase and different local weather modifications is predicated on the truth that the outcomes of the radiative-convective and heat-balance mannequin research could be understood in purely bodily phrases and are verified by the extra advanced GCM’s. The final give extra info on geographical variations in heating, precipitation, and snow and ice cowl, however they agree fairly properly with the easier fashions on the magnitudes of the general heating results. [Boldface Added.]

It’s comprehensible why the fashions weren’t examined, as a result of the info weren’t obtainable. Though satellites started accumulating complete atmospheric knowledge that could possibly be used to calculate temperature developments in December 1978, the procedures to make such calculations weren’t printed till 1990, and a few slight changes have been required to regulate for orbital decay and drift.

The Charney Report referenced main fashions used primarily to achieve its conclusions: 1) the mannequin developed by the NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory at Princeton; and a pair of) the NASA-GISS mannequin. The NOAA GFDL mannequin is briefly mentioned in the present day. Subsequent week, TWTW will talk about one other mannequin supported by the Nationwide Academy of Sciences.

Based mostly on a fast overview of the NOAA-GFDL mannequin and examination of some particulars, it seems that the first effort over the previous 40 years has been to extend the decision of the fashions however to not take a look at the fashions in opposition to the increasing knowledge bases from actual world observations. In keeping with NOAA-GFDL grid decision has been largely decided by laptop energy. Elevated computing energy permits simulation of smaller scale bodily processes, particulars, and animations from the fashions with out the necessity for observations from satellites, and so on.

The fashions are divided into 4 elements: ambiance, land floor, ocean, and sea ice. For the ocean grid, within the 1980s, on the equator the east-west grid had 96 divisions and the north-south gird had 40 divisions, yielding a complete of 3840 grid bins. Within the 2009 model, on the equator the east-west grid had 1440 divisions and the north-south gird had 1070 divisions, yielding a complete of 1,540,800 grid bins.

The brand new atmospheric mannequin CM 2.5 has grid field cells which are roughly 50 km on both sides, with 32 vertical ranges. The floor grid dimension is roughly the floor grid dimension of the ocean part mannequin. Thus, for the ocean and atmospheric elements there are 49,305,600 grid bins. The NOAA-GFDL web site discusses the problem of creating all of the calculations wanted:

“The mannequin makes use of growing ranges of parallelism to run effectively on fashionable supercomputers. For instance, the mannequin was in a position to simulate 12 mannequin years per day when utilizing roughly 6000 processors on the NOAA Analysis Supercomputer (GAEA) situated on the Oak Ridge Nationwide Laboratory.”

However it isn’t the computing energy used that’s the subject. A extra vital subject is the supply of the info. The one doable supply is from satellite tv for pc measurements, but as John Christy and his colleagues have proven, the US international local weather fashions drastically overestimate the warming of the ambiance.

One of many statements beneath Local weather Modeling addresses the problem of their use:

“Why Do We Consider Them? [The models]

“Though there’s some degree of disagreement amongst local weather fashions, these fashions are based mostly on well-founded bodily ideas both instantly for simulated processes or not directly for parameterized processes. The outcomes of 1 experiment are extensively checked by a big neighborhood of modelers and researchers world wide (for instance, as a part of the IPCC), which reduces uncertainty. Usually, fashions produce simulations of present and previous large-scale climates that agree with observations. Local weather fashions have additionally produced an correct hindcast of 20th century local weather change, together with elevated warming partly as a result of CO2 emissions. This provides us confidence in utilizing these fashions to mission future local weather change.” [Boldface added.]

This results in the important thing points: the testing of the fashions in opposition to impartial knowledge and validation of the fashions. Apparently, as with the Charney Report, the fashions are examined solely in opposition to different fashions, and validation has not been achieved. The greenhouse impact happens within the ambiance. Till the fashions have been proven to foretell atmospheric temperature developments, the science is way from settled.

Additionally, it’s fascinating to notice that within the depiction of the “Primary construction of GFDL’s Earth System Mannequin” the dominant greenhouse gasoline, water vapor, just isn’t talked about. See hyperlinks beneath Defending the Orthodoxy and Mannequin Points.


Revaluating the Questionable Consensus: Michael Oppenheimer and Naomi Oreskes are lead authors of a brand new guide titled “Discerning Specialists: The Practices of Scientific Evaluation For Environmental Coverage.” The guide blurb states:

“Discerning Specialists assesses the assessments that many governments depend on to assist information environmental coverage and motion. By their shut take a look at environmental assessments involving acid rain, ozone depletion, and sea degree rise, the authors discover how consultants deliberate and determine on the scientific information about issues like local weather change. In addition they search to know how the scientists concerned make the judgments they do, how the group and administration of evaluation actions impacts these judgments, and the way experience is recognized and constructed.

“Discerning Specialists uncovers elements that may generate systematic bias and error and recommends how the method could be improved. As the primary research of the interior workings of huge environmental assessments, this guide reveals their strengths and weaknesses, and explains what assessments can—and can’t—be anticipated to contribute to public coverage and the frequent good.” [Boldface added]

Michael Oppenheimer is intently related to the NOAA-GFDL mannequin mentioned above. However it’s uncertain one can uncover within the guide why US international local weather fashions drastically overestimates the temperature developments of the ambiance. Oreskes made extreme claims in opposition to 4 distinguished scientists, together with Fred Singer and Fredrick Seitz of SEPP, with out offering proof substantiating the claims. Most likely, the guide is brief on arduous proof. Given these shortcomings, it’s uncertain the Oppenheimer and Oreskes are consultants on the greenhouse impact.

Judith Curry politely summed the problem:

“In searching for to defend ‘it’s worse than we thought’ about local weather change, Oppenheimer, Oreskes et al. have opened up a welcome can of worms. Consensus searching for and consensus enforcement have trivialized and politicized local weather science for many years.

“It has been clear for a while that the conclusions of the IPCC Evaluation Reviews are too tame for the activist/alarmists. In reality, quoting the IPCC is a well-liked technique of the so-called ‘contrarians’ (together with myself). It stays to be seen if Oreskes can drop the 97% consensus rhetoric (I doubt it).” To Curry’s feedback one can add: If “the science is settled” was true years in the past, why are issues at all times “worse than we thought”? See hyperlinks beneath Difficult the Orthodoxy


Oh’ Mann: Michael Mann misplaced his litigation in opposition to Tim Ball, who acknowledged the significance of the detailed climate information of the Hudson Bay Firm, protecting a lot of north-central North America. Mr. Mann might be required to pay court docket prices, however it’s unclear what that entails. Mr. Mann seems to be properly financed as a way to undertake the private lawsuits he has. Mr. Ball is an excessive amount of a gentleman to talk harshly. Mark Steyn, one other of Mr. Mann’s targets, just isn’t so inclined. Will probably be fascinating to see what develops. See hyperlinks beneath Litigation Points.


New Net Web site: Craig Idso has posted for the Institute for the Human Surroundings. Idso is an authority on the advantages to the surroundings from carbon dioxide. His weekly critiques of papers are a worthwhile supply for dispelling the favored mischaracterization of accelerating CO2. The primary submit for the Institute presents a transparent dialogue why growing CO2 just isn’t the hazard to human well being the EPA and others declare. See hyperlinks beneath Difficult the Orthodoxy.


One New Rule: Australian Jo Nova describes a brand new rule for electrical grid operators in establishing precedence of bids. From many examples, as a result of their low variable value (value of operation) wind and photo voltaic could be low value suppliers of electrical energy, after they work. However they’re very unreliable and can’t be depended upon. Attributable to their low variable prices, they’ll worth out dependable suppliers, after they work.

In keeping with Nova: Terry McCrann, writing in The Australian, Enterprise Evaluate, proposes if a generator needs to promote energy into the grid, it should assure a minimal degree of provide and assure that minimal degree of provide 24/7. “And critically, that minimal degree could be no decrease than 80 per cent of the utmost quantity of vitality you can be permitted to promote into the grid.” That is an concept to ponder. See hyperlink beneath Vitality Points – Non-US.




The voting is closed and the winner who most intently meets the qualification is being chosen. No lacking shards right here, one hopes.


Variety of the Week: 116 Stations: Assisted by Kirye of Japan, Pierre Gosselin writes:

“It’s a incontrovertible fact that land floor temperature information going again earlier than 1900 globally are only a few and sparse. Worldwide there are solely 116 stations Model three, unadjusted datasets that go all the best way again to January 1880 – most of them are in USA and Europe (northern hemisphere).”

TWTW has not carried out such an evaluation however just isn’t stunned. Additional, Kirye and Gosselin state that there are solely 12 such stations within the Southern Hemisphere, seven in Australia, one beneath the equator in Africa, Cape City, and one beneath the equator in South America, Bahia Blanca, Argentina. These information are from a NOAA database.



Commentary: Is the Solar Rising?

New Examine Exhibits Southeast Asia Climatic Variability Over Previous Two Millennia, Seemingly Photo voltaic Pushed – Deflate CO2 As Fundamental Driver

By P Gosselin, No Tips Zone, Aug 17, 2019

New Study Shows Southeast Asia Climatic Variability Over Past Two Millennia, Likely Solar Driven – Deflate CO2 As Main Driver


Blacklist by Nature follows defamation by BioScience: journals reject ethics of science

By Susan Crockford, Polar Bear Science, Aug 17, 2019

Blacklist by <em>Nature</em> follows defamation by <em>BioScience</em>: journals reject ethics of science

Suppressing Scientific Inquiry

Critique of “Discrepancy in scientific authority and media visibility of local weather change scientists and contrarians”

By Nir Shaviv, ScienceBits, Aug 18, 2019

Hyperlink to paper: Discrepancy in scientific authority and media visibility of local weather change scientists and contrarians

By Alexander Michael Petersen, Emmanuel M. Vincent, & Anthony LeRoy Westerling, Nature, Communications,


Difficult the Orthodoxy — NIPCC

Local weather Change Reconsidered II: Bodily Science

Idso, Carter, and Singer, Lead Authors/Editors, Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change (NIPCC), 2013


Abstract: http://www.nipccreport.org/stories/ccr2a/pdf/Abstract-for-Policymakers.pdf

Local weather Change Reconsidered II: Organic Impacts

Idso, Idso, Carter, and Singer, Lead Authors/Editors, Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change (NIPCC), 2014

Climate Change Reconsidered II: Biological Impacts

Abstract: https://www.heartland.org/media-library/pdfs/CCR-IIb/Abstract-for-Policymakers.pdf

Local weather Change Reconsidered II: Fossil Fuels

By A number of Authors, Bezdek, Idso, Legates, and Singer eds., Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change, April 2019


Obtain with no cost:

http://climatechangereconsidered.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/Local weather-Change-Reconsidered-II-Fossil-Fuels-FULL-Quantity-with-covers.pdf

Why Scientists Disagree About World Warming

The NIPCC Report on the Scientific Consensus

By Craig D. Idso, Robert M. Carter, and S. Fred Singer, Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change (NIPCC), Nov 23, 2015


Obtain with no cost:


Nature, Not Human Exercise, Guidelines the Local weather

S. Fred Singer, Editor, NIPCC, 2008


World Sea-Stage Rise: An Analysis of the Information

By Craig D. Idso, David Legates, and S. Fred Singer, Heartland Coverage Temporary, Might 20, 2019


Difficult the Orthodoxy

Re-evaluating the manufacture of the local weather consensus

By Judith Curry, Local weather And so forth. Aug 21, 2019

Re-evaluating the manufacture of the climate consensus

Local weather Change: What’s the Worst Case?

By Judith Curry, Local weather And so forth. Aug 22, 2019

Climate Change: What’s the Worst Case?

Why CO2 is Not the Management Knob of World Temperature and Observational Proof it’s Not Inflicting Harmful Warming

By Employees, Institute for the Human Surroundings, Accessed Aug 23, 2019

http://www.human-environment.org/local weather/co2primer/co2primer.php

Wanting behind the scenes of the well-orchestrated local weather hysteria

By Sanjeev Sabhlok, The Occasions of India, Aug 22, 2019


“Our social gathering is keenly conscious of the extraordinary hatred these “white” elites have in the direction of India’s poor. We received’t allow them to get the higher hand. Scientific debate received’t work with them. So we name upon the Modi authorities shut down the IPCC.”

Hearken to the Timber!

By Jim Steele, Landscapes and Cycles, Aug 20, 2019


“There are too many worry mongering politicians pushing an “existential local weather disaster”. I discover the local weather historical past advised by the bushes much more reliable, and the bushes are whispering there isn’t a disaster.”

Petitioning Towards Local weather Alarmism Goes World

By Larry Bell, Newmax, Aug 19, 2019


The Best Scientific Fraud Of All Time — Half XXVI

By Francis Menton, Manhattan Contrarian, Aug 20, 2019


Defending the Orthodoxy

Carbon Dioxide and Local weather: A Scientific Evaluation

Report of an Advert Hoc Examine Group on Carbon Dioxide and Local weather

Woods Gap, Massachusetts, July 23-27, 1979

To the Local weather Analysis Board, Meeting of Mathematical and Bodily Sciences, Nationwide Analysis Council


Bernie Sanders signifies local weather plan would require nationalization of US vitality manufacturing

By Sam Dorman, Fox Information, Aug 23, 2019

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/sanders-climate-plan-federal-takeover-energy?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feedpercent3A%20foxnewspercent2Fpolitics%20%28Inner%20-%20Politics%20-%20Textual content%29

Dessler’s “Introduction to Trendy Local weather Change:” Recommendations for Extra Interdisciplinary Scholarship, Much less Advocacy

By Robert Bradley Jr. Grasp Useful resource, Aug 21, 2019

Dessler’s “Introduction to Modern Climate Change:” Suggestions for More Interdisciplinary Scholarship, Less Advocacy

New research provides roadmap for detecting modifications within the ocean as a result of local weather change

Some impacts — like sea temperature rise — are already in progress; others anticipated to happen inside subsequent century

Press launch, Princeton College, By way of Eurek Alert, Aug 19, 2019 [H/t WUWT]


Hyperlink to paper: “Emergence of anthropogenic alerts within the ocean carbon cycle,” was printed in Nature Local weather Change

By Sarah Schlunegger, et al., Nature, Local weather Change, Aug 19, 2019


[SEPP Comment: Do they understand the difference between natural climate change and human-caused climate change?]

Distinctive local weather change has no pure trigger

By Tim Radford, Local weather Information Community, By way of Physics World, Aug 23, 2019

Unique climate change has no natural cause

“Different historic modifications – the so-called Medieval Heat Interval after which the ‘Little Ice Age’ that marked the 17th to the 19th centuries – weren’t international. The one interval wherein the world’s local weather has modified, all over the place and on the similar time, is true now.”

[SEPP Comment: There were no Ice Ages when North America down to Manhattan was covered by thousands of feet of ice?]

Carbon Dioxide and Local weather: A Scientific Evaluation

Report of an Advert Hoc Examine Group on Carbon Dioxide and Local weather

Woods Gap, Massachusetts

July 23-27, 1979

to the Local weather Analysis Board, Meeting of Mathematical and Bodily Sciences, Nationwide Analysis Council


Questioning the Orthodoxy

And loss of life might be a aid

By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Aug 21, 2019

And death will be a relief

Can’t think about why

By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Aug 21, 2019

Can’t imagine why

“Ambition. That’s what we’d like. Extra ambition. And extra certitude. And extra smugness. And extra perspective.”

By no means shake thy Gore-y locks

By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Aug 21, 2019

Never shake thy Gore-y locks

“What James Taranto of the Wall Avenue Journal years in the past dubbed ‘poor political hygiene’ additionally applies in science and, certainly, within the politicized science that now constitutes local weather orthodoxy.”

The Actual Information about Local weather: CO2 Is No Menace

Visitor Publish by Simply Beau, Carlin Economics and Science, Aug 17, 2019

The Real News about Climate: CO2 Is No Threat

After Paris!

Adaptation: Take into consideration It (a ‘free-market jihadist’?)

By Robert Bradley Jr., Grasp Useful resource, Aug 20, 2019

Adaptation: Think about It (a ‘free-market jihadist’?)

China Criticizes Australia for Not Doing Sufficient about Local weather Change

By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Aug 21, 2019

China Criticises Australia for Not Doing Enough about Climate Change

Creating nations surging vitality use shatters UN & California’s local weather alarmism campaign

Visitor essay by Larry Hamlin, WUWT, Aug 22, 2019

Developing nations surging energy use shatters UN & California’s climate alarmism crusade

Change in US Administrations

BLM points last plan for decreased Utah monument

By John Bowden and Rebecca Beitsch, The Hill, Aug 23, 2019


[SEPP Comment: When President Clinton announced the formation of the Grand Staircase-Escalante National Monument, the press conference was held at the Grand Canyon, not at the new Monument where reporters would have traveled over miles of barren wastes without finding anything significant.]

Social Advantages of Carbon Dioxide

Save 7 million lives per yr by growing entry to hydrocarbon fuels

By Chris Wright, Washington Examiner, Aug 16, 2019


In search of a Widespread Floor

The Bigotry of Environmental Pessimism

By Michael Shellenberger, Quillette, Aug 15, 2019 [H/t GWPF]

The Bigotry of Environmental Pessimism

Why you’ll be able to’t belief your eyes

By Cliff Mass, Climate and Local weather Weblog, Aug 23, 2019


Evaluate of Latest Scientific Articles by CO2 Science

Enhanced Transport of Riverine Carbonate Alkalinity Over the Previous Forty Years

Drake, T.W., Tank, S.E., Zhulidov, A.V., Holmes, R.M., Gurtovaya, T. and Spencer, R.G.M. 2018. Growing alkalinity export from massive Russian Arctic rivers. Environmental Science & Know-how 52: 8302-8308. Aug 23, 2019


“Consequently, extra analysis ought to be performed on this space in order to find out the impression of this enhanced riverine carbonate alkalinity on future projections of ocean acidification within the Arctic and elsewhere. It might be that the buffering capability of the world’s oceans at shorter timescales is bigger than anticipated. And that has vital implications for a possible slow-down and partial mitigation of predicted ocean acidification impacts.”

A Transcriptome-based Evaluation of the Interactive Results of Elevated CO2 and Herbivory Assault on Grapevine

Reineke, A. and Selim, M. 2019. Elevated atmospheric CO2 concentrations alter grapevine (Vitis vinifera) systemic transcriptional response to European grapevine moth (Lobesia botrana) herbivory. Scientific Reviews 9: 2995, DOI:10.1038/s41598-Zero19-39979-5. Aug 22, 2019


“In gentle of those encouraging findings, it ought to come as no shock that Reineke and Selim conclude by saying their research ‘signifies that future elevated CO2 concentrations will have an effect on interactions between grapevine crops and certainly one of its key insect pests, with penalties for future relevance of L. botrana in worldwide viticulture.’ And, gratefully, that relevance will seemingly be drastically diminished, resulting in extra strong progress and grape harvests within the years and a long time to return because the air’s CO2 focus continues to rise.”

A 2000-Yr Historical past of Temperature on the Southern Tibetan Plateau

Guo, C., Ma, Y., Meng, H., Hu, C., Li, D., Liu, J., Luo, C. and Wang, Ok. 2018. Modifications in vegetation and surroundings in Yamzhog Yumco Lake on the southern Tibetan Plateau over previous 2000 years. Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology 501: 30-44. Aug 21, 2019


“But when not CO2, what’s or could possibly be the reason for the 20th century warming? Based mostly on further analyses carried out by Guo et al., it was their conclusion that modifications in photo voltaic irradiance ‘performed an important position in influencing the climatic variabilities over the STP on a multi-centennial timescale.’”

Elevated CO2 Improves the Progress of Two Mangrove Tree Species

Jacotot, A., Marchand, C. and Allenbach, M. 2019. Improve in progress and alteration of C:N ratios of Avicennia marina and Rhizophora stylosa topic to elevated CO2 concentrations and longer tidal flooding length. Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution 7: 98, doi: 10.3389/fevo.2019.00098. Aug 19, 2019


Measurement Points — Floor

Earth Floor Temperature Information Too Scant, No Certainty. Southern Hemisphere Stations Present Cooling Since 1880!

By Kirye and Pierre Gosselin, No Tips Zone, Aug 23, 2019

Earth Surface Temperature Data Too Scant, No Certainty. Southern Hemisphere Stations Show Cooling Since 1880!

How A lot Hotter Are The Oceans? The Reply Begins With A Bucket

By Rebecca Hersher, NPR, Aug 19, 2019 [H/t Bernie Kepshire]


Hyperlink to paper; Correcting datasets results in extra homogeneous early-twentieth-century sea floor warming

By Duo Chan, Elizabeth C. Kent, David l. Berry & Peter Huyber, Nature, July 18, 2019


Northern Europe July Temperature Sees NO WARMING Over Previous A long time. World July Not A File Excessive!

By Kirye and Pierre Gosselin, No Tips Zone, Aug 20, 2019

Northern Europe July Temperature Sees NO WARMING Over Past Decades. Global July Not A Record High!

New York Occasions Explains Why The World Temperature File Is Ineffective

By Tony Heller, The Deplorable Local weather Science Weblog, Aug 21, 2019


Mannequin Points

Earth System Fashions

By Employees, Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Accessed Aug 19, 2019

Earth System Model

Altering Climate

Baked Alaska – the actual causes and the way 2012 was forgotten

By Joseph D’Aleo, CCM, ICECAP, Aug 19, 2019


[SEPP Remark: To get the story broadcast: neglect the chilly, deal with the nice and cozy!

Africa’s Shortterm Freshwater Traits Largely Pushed By Pure Variability

By P Gosselin, No Tips Zone, Aug 21, 2019

Africa’s Shortterm Freshwater Trends Largely Driven By Natural Variability

Hyperlink to paper: Quick-term developments in Africa’s freshwater sources: Charges and drivers

By MohamedAhmed and David N.Wiese, Science of the Complete Surroundings, Dec 10, 2019(?)


Snow in northern BC, Rain within the Northwest

By Cliff Mass, Climate and Local weather Weblog, Aug 19, 2019


Is Western Washington Actually in Extreme Drought?

By Cliff Mass, Climate and Local weather Weblog, Aug 23, 2019


That is the sort of yr that ‘abnormally dry’ may be applicable and the ‘D phrase’ won’t be your best option. Excessive drought appears excessive.

Altering Seas

Heron Island Corals: Nonetheless Constrained by Sea Stage Fall

By Jennifer Marohasy, Her Weblog, Aug 20, 2019

Heron Island Corals: Still Constrained by Sea Level Fall

[SEPP Remark: Vital coral bleaching could come from sea ranges quickly falling throughout main climate occasions akin to El Niños?]

New GBR Examine: 400% Coral Restoration Since 2014 – With 2017 Progress Charges Comparable To The 1970s

By Kenneth Richard, No Tips Zone, Aug 19, 2019

New GBR Study: 400% Coral Recovery Since 2014 – With 2017 Growth Rates Comparable To The 1970s

Sum-Of-Contributor Proof Exhibits World Sea Ranges Have Not too long ago Been Rising <1 Millimeter Per Yr

By Kenneth Richard, No Tips Zone, Aug 22, 2019

Sum-Of-Contributor Evidence Shows Global Sea Levels Have Recently Been Rising <1 Millimeter Per Year

Local weather change ‘might expose extra historic monuments and ruins’

By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, Aug 21, 2019

Climate change ‘could expose more ancient monuments and ruins’

[SEPP Comment: Even if sea levels are rising?]

California King Salmon Rebound After Lengthy Drought

By Employees, AP, Aug 22, 2019 [H/t Ken Schichte]

California King Salmon Rebound After Long Drought

[SEPP Comment: There is strong evidence that Pacific salmon runs are cyclical, may be related to the Pacific Decadal Oscillation.]

Altering Cryosphere – Land / Sea Ice

Don’t purchase Arctic beachfront property simply but

By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Aug 21, 2019

Don’t buy Arctic beachfront property just yet

[SEPP Comment: Unlike today, 1800s polar expeditions did not have modern equipment to know where openings in the ice were, if any.]

Altering Earth

Yellowstone ‘supervolcano’ eruption can be catastrophic, NYT op-ed says

By Brie Stimson, Fox Information, Aug 22, 2019 [H/t William Dwyer]


Superdeep diamonds affirm historic reservoir deep beneath Earth’s floor

By Employees Writers, Barcelona, Spain (SPX). Aug 17, 2019


Primordial and recycled helium isotope signatures within the mantle transition zone

By S. Timmerman, et. al., Science, Agu 16, 2019

https://science.sciencemag.org/content material/365/6454/692

Agriculture Points & Worry of Famine

Corn Belt Replace Mid-August 2019

Visitor Publish by David Archibald, WUWT, Aug 21, 2019

Corn Belt Update Mid-August 2019

Monsoon rebound prepares floor for bumper harvest

Circumstances are ripe for a great harvest of the kharif crop & greater farm incomes, which ought to increase demand.

By Rituraj Tiwari, The Financial Occasions, India, Aug 17, 2019

https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/information/financial system/agriculture/monsoon-rebound-prepares-ground-for-bumper-harvest/articleshow/70709020.cms

Worry of Hearth:


By Employees, NASA Earth Observatory, Accessed Aug 20, 2019


5 issues the media received’t let you know concerning the Amazon fires

By Jesse Ferrell, AccuWeather, Aug 23, 2019


NASA Say The Amazon Is Burning At Beneath Common Charges – But Many Information Tales Say File Charges – Which Is It?

By Robert Walker, Science 2.Zero, Aug 21, 2019 [H/t GWPF]


Amazon Fires Replace

Information Temporary by Kip Hansen, WUWT, Aug 23, 2019

Amazon Fires Update

Amazon Hearth Historical past Since 2003

By Les Johnson, WUWT, Aug 23, 2019

Amazon Fire History Since 2003

5 issues to know concerning the Amazon rainforest fires

By Justin Smart, The Hill, Aug 23, 2019


“That’s as a result of the rainforest — a supply of 20 p.c of the earth’s oxygen — has served a significant position in carbon storage, absorbing a considerable quantity of the two.Four billion metric tons captured every year by forests worldwide. A rise in fires and deforestation in that area might markedly speed up warming climates past South America.”

Brazil’s Bolsonaro tells world to not meddle as Amazon rainforest burns

By Aris Folley, The Hill, Aug 23, 2019


Speaking Higher to the Public – Make issues up.

Sea Stage scare industry urges plans to panic and evacuate over 1mm rise

By Jo Nova, Her Weblog, Aug 23, 2019


Local weather change drives author from skeptic to alarmist

Prognosis for Subsequent Century Is Brutally Bleak

Evaluate of The Uninhabitable Earth: Life After Warming

By David Wallace-Wells, Reviewed by Dana Wilde, Island Institute, Maine, Aug 21, 2019 [H/t William Readdy]


“By the yr 2100, the Earth’s sea degree is sort of assured to rise by at the very least Four toes, possibly as much as Eight toes.”

Local weather Change Is Already Amplifying the Reasonably priced Housing Disaster

By Jared Brey, Subsequent Metropolis, Aug 20, 2019

https://nextcity.org/day by day/entry/climate-change-is-already-amplifying-the-affordable-housing-crisis

“Different areas of Florida have been already going through difficult housing shortages. And earlier this yr, as Subsequent Metropolis reported, the state legislature as soon as once more pulled cash from an inexpensive housing belief fund to pay for different packages, together with catastrophe aid.”

[SEPP Comment: People moving from the north to Florida are creating climate change?]

Speaking Higher to the Public – Use Propaganda

See how local weather science turns into alarmist propaganda

By Larry Kummer, Fabius Maximus web site, Aug 18, 2019 [H/t WUWT]


Speaking Higher to the Public – Use Propaganda on Youngsters

A extremely carbon-positive “prince” from a Swedish woman’s yacht

By Lubos Motl, The Reference Body, Aug 20, 2019


Worry promoted by younger activists is predicated on false walrus & polar bear narratives

By Susan Crockford, Polar Bear Science, Aug 21, 2019

Fear promoted by young activists is based on false walrus & polar bear narratives

Speaking Higher to the Public – Use Youngsters for Propaganda

Czechia: the place TV debates on Greta are nonetheless doable

By Lubos Motl, The Reference Body, Aug 23, 2019


Greta Thunberg and the Plot to Forge a Local weather Warrior

By Dominic Inexperienced, The Occasions, By way of GWPF, Aug 23, 2019

Greta Thunberg and the Plot to Forge a Climate Warrior

How inexperienced is St Greta’s Ark? Er, not very

By Michael St George, The Conservative Girl, Aug 20, 2019


Questioning European Inexperienced

Former Nationwide Grid Director Says Britain Ought to Impose Limits on New Wind and Photo voltaic Farms to Keep away from Blackouts

By Employees, Sunday Telegraph, UK, By way of GWPF, Aug 19, 2019

Former National Grid Director Says Britain Should Impose Limits On New Wind And Solar Farms To Avoid Blackouts

Nationwide Grid’s Preliminary Report On Blackout

By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, Aug 20, 2019

National Grid’s Preliminary Report On Blackout

UK blackout proved want for numerous vitality combine, says enterprise secretary

By Employees, WNN, Aug 14, 2019


Questioning Inexperienced Elsewhere

Huge Wind’s Huge Headwinds

By Robert Bryce, Actual Clear Vitality, Aug 16, 2019


Plastic recycling piles up in Hobart as councils urged to drop service charges

By Employees, ABC Information, AU, Aug 17, 2019 [H/t WUWT]


The Political Video games Proceed

Local weather information topic to guidelines on partisan promoting in Canada

By Brian Owens, Science Magazine, Aug 20, 2019 [H/t Toshio Fujita]


[SEPP Comment: Photo of a sign speaks loudly: “We Can’t Save the World By Playing By the Rules.”]

GOLDSTEIN: For local weather alarmists ‘free speech’ exists just for them

By Lorrie Goldstein, Toronto Solar, Aug 19, 2019

GOLDSTEIN: For climate alarmists ‘free speech’ exists only for them

Democratic Nationwide Committee Votes Down Local weather Debate. Activists Vow To Battle On.

The vote got here a day after the 2020 local weather candidate Jay Inslee, who had been pushing for the talk, dropped out of the race.

By Alexander C. Kaufman and Chris D’Angelo, Huff Publish, Aug 22, 2019


Litigation Points

BREAKING – Dr. Tim Ball wins @MichaelEMann lawsuit – Mann has to pay

By Anthony Watts, WUWT, Aug 22, 2019

UPDATE – Dr. Tim Ball wins @MichaelEMann lawsuit – Mann “hides the decline” AGAIN

Keystone XL Pipeline will get nod from Nebraska Supreme Court docket

By Miranda Inexperienced and Rebecca Klar, The Hill, Aug 23, 2019


Walmart suing Tesla

By Charles the moderator, WUWT, Aug 21, 2019

Walmart suing Tesla

Hyperlink to the swimsuit: 654765 2019 Walmart Inc v Tesla Vitality Operations Inc Summons Grievance 1

Walmart is suing Tesla after its photo voltaic panels caught on hearth at seven shops

Supreme Court docket of the State of New York

County of New York: Industrial Division

Walmart asks Telsa to take away photo voltaic panels from 240 shops and pay damages after 7 fires

By Jo Nova, Her Weblog, Aug 21, 2019


Subsidies and Mandates Without end

Let’s be Clear About Subsidies

By Donn Dears, Energy For USA, Aug 19, 2019


[SEPP Comment: The Tax Reduction Act of 1975 repealed the percentage depletion allowance for major integrated oil companies.]

EPA and different Regulators on the March

EPA ordered to set stronger smog requirements

By Rebecca Beitsch, The Hill, Aug 23, 2019


“The U.S. Court docket of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit discovered that whereas the EPA’s present air high quality requirements for ozone are too weak to guard the surroundings, the requirements do meet federal necessities on the subject of defending human well being.”

“Environmentalists and Democrats alike mentioned the swimsuit confirmed the significance of scientific proof at trial.”

[SEPP Comment: What type of evidence? Speculation from unvalidated models?]

Trump admin erases key environmental enforcement instrument

By Miranda Inexperienced, The Hill, Aug 21, 2019


[SEPP Comment: Many development projects have been loaded with expensive Supplemental Environmental Projects (SEPs), greatly benefiting the environmental industry.]

Vitality Points – Non-US

Simply change one rule — so the world can see what Wind and Photo voltaic actually value

By Jo Nova, Her Weblog, Aug 20, 2019


Telling the Story of a Blackout

By John Constable, GWPF Vitality Editor, Aug 21, 2019

Telling the Story of a Blackout

Blackout Fears Over Nationwide Grid Cables from Europe

By Employees, The Occasions, By way of GWPF, Aug 19, 2019

Blackout Fears Over National Grid Cables From Europe

Renewable Vitality Is a Blackout Threat, Warns Britain’s Nationwide Grid

By Employees, Mail on Sunday, By way of GWPF, Aug 18, 2019

Renewable Energy Is A Blackout Risk, Warns Britain’s National Grid

Canada pipeline building to begin inside 30 days: firm

By Employees Writers Ottawa (AFP), Aug 21, 2019


Vitality Points – Australia

Australian grid wars: MP says Queensland ought to lower off different states to make electrical energy cheaper

By Jo Nova, Her Weblog, Aug 20, 2019


Bluescope spends a billion in US as a result of “low-cost vitality”

By Jo Nova, Her Weblog, Aug 21, 2019


“In the previous few days Bluescope Metal (previously BHP) has confirmed it can spend US$700m (AU$1b) to broaden it’s North Star metal mill in Ohio.”

Vitality Points — US

Vistra Might Shut 2 GW of Illinois Coal Energy By Yr’s Finish

By Sonal Patel, Energy Magazine, Aug 22, 2019


Oil and Pure Fuel – the Future or the Previous?

OPEC’s market share sinks – and no signal of wavering on provide cuts

By Alex Lawler, Reuters, Aug 22, 2019


US Shale Pure Fuel: Decreasing World Costs and CO2 Emissions

By Jude Clemente, Actual Clear Vitality, August 22, 2019


Fracking has much less impression on groundwater than conventional oil and gasoline manufacturing

Press Launch, By College of Arizona, Phys.org, Aug 16, 2019 [H/t Toshio Fujita]


Return of King Coal?

China offers $1 billion in ‘inexperienced’ finance to coal initiatives in first half of the yr

By David Stanway, Reuters, Aug 19, 2019


[SEPP Comment: Do they paint the coal green before burning it?]

Oil Spills, Fuel Leaks & Penalties

Offshore Oil and Fuel Manufacturing Leaks Nearly No Methane

By David Middleton, WUWT, Aug 20, 2019

Offshore Oil and Gas Production Leaks Virtually No Methane

Nuclear Vitality and Fears

US launches superior nuclear applied sciences demonstration centre

By Employees, WNN, Aug 19, 2019


Rising From Darkness: Britain’s Mass Blackout Drives Push For Ever-Dependable Nuclear Energy

By Employees, Cease These Issues, Aug 21, 2019 [H/t GWPF]

Emerging From Darkness: Britain’s Mass Blackout Drives Push For Ever-Reliable Nuclear Power

Different, Inexperienced (“Clear”) Photo voltaic and Wind

Duke Vitality utility factors finger at photo voltaic for elevated air pollution

By Dan Method, North State Journal, NC, Aug 20, 2019 [H/t John McClaughry]

Duke Energy application points finger at solar for increased pollution

[SEPP Comment: NOx is commonly called a greenhouse gas. NO2 has a greenhouse effect, but N2O and NO do not.]

Different, Inexperienced (“Clear”) Automobiles

British MPs and Oxford dons say “No extra automobiles for you”. Not even EVs!

By Jo Nova, Her Weblog, Aug 23, 2019


Ditch automobiles to fulfill local weather change targets, say MPs

By Roger Harrabin, BBC, Aug 22, 2019


Carbon Schemes

Metropolis Backs Deal for CCS Know-how to Save New Mexico Coal Plant

By Darrell Proctor, Energy Magazine, Aug 19, 2019


Farmington NM Fights to Save Coal-fired Energy Plant and Mine

Visitor cheer-leading by David Middleton, WUWT, Aug 23, 2019

Farmington NM Fights to Save Coal-fired Power Plant and Mine

[SEPP Comment: After presenting significant background material, Middleton makes the argument that subsidizing reliable coal-fired power makes more sense than subsidizing unreliable wind and solar.]

Environmental Business

Battle Towards Meat: the Continuum

By Donna Laframboise, Huge Image Information, Aug 19, 2019


Different Scientific Information

Iron-60 discovery in Antarctic offers knowledge on photo voltaic system surroundings

By Employees Writers, Munich, Germany (SPX), Aug 21, 2019


Hyperlink to paper: Interstellar 60Fe in Antarctica

By Dominik Koll, et al., Bodily Evaluate Letters, Aug 12, 2019


US DOE orders exascale laptop

By Employees, WNN, Aug 15, 2019



Elton John Pays Carbon Penance For Harry’s Non-public Jet–So That’s Alright Then!

By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, Aug 21, 2019

Elton John Pays Carbon Penance For Harry’s Private Jet–So That’s Alright Then!

Funeral For An Icelandic Glacier

By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, Aug 20, 2019

Funeral For An Icelandic Glacier

Photo voltaic street is $6m epic catastrophe — Four% capability, damaged and so noisy speed-limits have been lower

By Jo Nova, Her Weblog, Aug 19, 2019


THIS BITES Spiders are getting ANGRIER due to evolutionary trick to outlive ‘local weather chaos’

By Charlotte Edwards, Then Solar, Aug 19, 2019 [H/t Bernie Kepshire]



Endangered Species Overreach

A brand new rule received’t put extra fish and wildlife in danger.

Editorial, WSJ, Aug 16, 2019


SUMMARY by TWTW: The editorial begins:

“Maybe you’ve been studying that the Trump Administration desires to make it simpler to eradicate polar bears, noticed owls and different species from the face of the earth. As ever in Donald Trump ’s Washington, the fact is completely different, so enable us to clarify.

“The uproar considerations a proposed new rule to revise some practices beneath the 1973 Endangered Species Act. For all of the reward liberals bathe on that regulation, it has achieved far lower than marketed. A 2018 report from the Heritage Basis’s Robert Gordon discovered that since 1973 the ESA has helped to get well solely 40 species, and almost half of these have been mistakenly listed within the first place.

“In the meantime, the regulation has change into a authorized weapon to strip property rights and block tens of millions of acres from personal growth. Congress must rewrite the ESA however can’t break a partisan deadlock. So this week Inside Secretary David Bernhardt tried to make clear regulation beneath the regulation to forestall abuses.

“The brand new rule restores Congress’s authentic two-tiered strategy, killing the Fish and Wildlife Service’s ‘blanket rule’ that handled ‘endangered’ and ‘threatened’ species alike. It will dedicate scarce authorities —and landowner consideration—to the species most in danger. It would additionally present states extra flexibility to help species which are struggling although not significantly endangered.

“The brand new guidelines make clear imprecise phrases akin to ‘the foreseeable future’ to imply solely so far as the federal government can ‘fairly decide’ a hazard of extinction. It will make it more durable for activists to make use of claims of imprecise future local weather injury to declare many extra species endangered.

“And the foundations remind regulators they have to use the identical 5 standards in deciding whether or not to delist a species as they did when itemizing one—destruction of habitat or vary; overutilization; illness; insufficient regulation; or different pure or artifical elements. It will guard in opposition to particular pursuits that transfer the goalposts each time a recovered inhabitants is proposed to be cleared.

“One other reform would restrict the usage of ‘important habitat’ designations that tie up tens of tens of millions of acres of U.S. land. The foundations reinstate a requirement that companies first consider acreage that include the at-risk species earlier than contemplating new, unoccupied areas. Companies additionally should show that unoccupied important habitat accommodates ‘a number of of the bodily or organic options important to the species’ conservation.’

“The aim of all that is to return to a rules-driven, scientific strategy to species administration.”

The editorial discusses fits then continues;

“Many struggling species dwell on personal land, and the cooperation of householders is essential for restoration. Environmental legal guidelines and rules ought to encourage stewardship, fairly than penalize personal companions. To the extent the foundations enhance private-public cooperation, the important thing deer and sage grouse will profit. Which is meant to be the purpose of the regulation.”

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