The Week That Was: 2019-08-03 (August three, 2019)
Dropped at You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org)
The Science and Environmental Coverage Challenge
Quote of the Week: “Have you learnt what we name opinion within the absence of proof? We name it prejudice.”— Michael Crichton [H/t William Readdy]
Variety of the Week: 1998 and 2016
By Ken Haapala, President, Science and Environmental Coverage Challenge (SEPP)
Complicated Planet: Our planet is a posh place, little doubt complicated international warming headline seekers. About 71%of the floor is water (ocean), 29% is land. Water warms and cools way more slowly than land. Complicating issues additional, the dominant greenhouse gasoline is water vapor, slowing the nighttime cooling of water and land lots even additional, the place it’s current.
Making issues much more complicated is that about 81% of the Southern hemisphere is water and 19% is land. For the Northern Hemisphere, about 61% is water and 39% is land. Land space varies by latitude. About 68% of the land is within the Northern Hemisphere, solely 32% within the Southern Hemisphere. By latitude, the very best share of land space is between 30 levels North and 60 levels North. [The distribution of land areas has changed significantly over the past 750 million years, making any paleo-earth studies of the greenhouse effect of carbon dioxide on temperatures difficult. One cannot assume the ocean currents were the same as today.]
Immediately, the planet’s orbit locations it closest to the solar in early January (winter within the Northern Hemisphere), and farthest in early July (summer time within the Northern Hemisphere). But the most well liked month for international temperatures tends to be July, because of the distribution of the land areas. [The orbit, axial tilt, and orientation vary as described by the Milankovitch cycles.]
This week, the World Meteorological Group introduced that preliminary knowledge signifies that July 2019 might have been the most well liked month recorded. The announcement was blared by the trumpets of world warming together with the top of the UN, Antonio Guterres. As typical, the trumpeters ignored the main points. The information have been preliminary, and they don’t survive examination. The information relied on forecasts for the top of the month, not precise observations.
On his web site, Roy Spencer describes three errors in claiming July was the most well liked month. The worst is the continued use of land devices that are affected by the city warmth island impact. This has been effectively documented. Anthony Watts demonstrated it for the US. Jo Nova is posting a couple of examples in Australia on her web site. Amazingly, the Australian Bureau of Meteorology has rigorously mapped all of the deficiencies of the instrument website at Murray Bridge, South Australia, together with positions of the solar, but continues to make use of the information.
Bureaucratic inertia is beautiful. Appropriately estimating the distortion from the city warmth island impact within the land floor knowledge is not possible. To make issues worse, NOAA has “adjusted” rural devices to extra intently match city devices.
A second error within the floor temperature knowledge are the adjustments in ocean measurements from altering applied sciences, from buckets, to engine water intakes, to buoys. There isn’t a systematic methodology of calibrating these completely different strategies as a result of the completely different strategies of bucket sampling and depth of water intakes is unknow. NOAA claimed to take action, however, as mentioned in earlier TWTWs, the declare will not be credible. The third supply of error described by Spencer is that the placement of each land and ocean devices is notoriously incomplete. But, NASA-GISS continues to indicate temperatures over massive areas the place there aren’t any measuring stations, no devices.
As Spencer demonstrates, the bizarre heat of western Europe was offset by uncommon cool of jap Europe. He advocates utilizing International Reanalysis datasets for month-to-month estimates of floor temperatures. These are the results of every day observations utilizing floor thermometers, buoys, ships, climate balloons, industrial plane knowledge, and all kinds of satellite tv for pc knowledge sources. They’re used every day to forecast the climate.
The US reanalysis dataset, CFSv2, obtainable to the general public exhibits that July 2019 was not the most well liked July ever, it was the fourth warmest in 41 years behind 2016, 2002, and 2017. In accordance with 41-year dataset, which matches again to 1979, July 2019 was solely Zero.5ºF (Zero.3ºC) above regular for July.
TWTW provides that the Japan Meteorological Company reanalysis dataset goes again to 1958. See hyperlinks underneath Measurement Points – Floor, http://phl.upr.edu/library/notes/distributionoflandmassesofthepaleo-earth, and https://www.jma.go.jp/jma/indexe.html
Higher US Floor Information: Writing in ICECAP, Meteorologist Joseph D’Aleo of WeatherBell Analytics discusses the U.S. Local weather Reference Community (USCRN), which can be mentioned by Anthony Watts. The aim of the USCRN program is to offer an correct sequence of local weather observations for monitoring traits within the nation’s local weather and supporting climate-impact analysis.
Just like what Anthony Watts discovered, a 1999 paper confirmed that, as a consequence of station siting, 75% of the floor stations have a every day uncertainty equal to or higher than 1ºC. Sixty-four p.c had a every day uncertainty equal to or higher than 2ºC (about 4ºF). The present CRN was primarily based on work by John Christy and gives correct siting the skin the affect of the City Warmth Island impact. In accordance with the NOAA web site:
“Information from NOAA’s premiere floor reference community. The contiguous U.S. community of 114 stations was accomplished in 2008. There are two USCRN stations in Hawaii and deployment of a community of 29 stations in Alaska continues. The imaginative and prescient of the USCRN program is to keep up a sustainable high-quality local weather statement community that 50 years from now can with the very best diploma of confidence reply the query: How has the local weather of the Nation modified over the previous 50 years?
“These stations have been designed with local weather science in thoughts. Three impartial measurements of temperature and precipitation are made at every station, guaranteeing continuity of file and upkeep of well-calibrated and extremely correct observations. The stations are positioned in pristine environments anticipated to be freed from improvement for a lot of many years. Stations are monitored and maintained to excessive requirements and are calibrated on an annual foundation. Along with temperature and precipitation, these stations additionally measure photo voltaic radiation, floor pores and skin temperature, and floor winds. In addition they embrace triplicate measurements of soil moisture and soil temperature at 5 depths, in addition to atmospheric relative humidity for many of the 114 contiguous U.S. stations. Stations in Alaska and Hawaii present community expertise and observations in polar and tropical areas. Deployment of an entire 29-station USCRN community in Alaska started in 2009. This mission is managed by NOAA’s Nationwide Climatic Information Middle and operated in partnership with NOAA’s Atmospheric Turbulence and Diffusion Division.”
The information D’Aleo presents begin in 2005 and present little warming. This raises a serious problem: Why did the US International Change Analysis Program (USGCRP) omit an entire dialogue of the temperature and precipitation traits recognized by the USCRN in its Fourth Nationwide Local weather Evaluation (2017, 2018)? Definitely, the onerous proof signifies that the alarming conclusions of the USGCRP report have to be tempered. See hyperlinks underneath Measurement Points – Floor, https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/data-access/land-based-station-data/land-based-datasets/us-climate-reference-network-uscrn, https://science2017.globalchange.gov/, and https://nca2018.globalchange.gov/.
Rural Electrification in India: Among the many extra pernicious packages introduced by the environmental industry is the “Battle on Coal.” Every residence burning coal for heating or cooking is soiled. However trendy coal-fired energy crops, with acceptable scrubbers should not. “Energy by wire”, rural electrification, tremendously helped the US and all developed international locations. The addition of scrubbers on coal-fired energy crops for the reason that 1970s has helped clear the air within the US.
In accordance with a report in Grasp Useful resource, the federal government of India has introduced a aim of electrifying all residences by 2022. Others report combined outcomes as to how profitable this system is. There are complaints about metering, billing, and invoice paying. Outages appear to be a serious downside as effectively. Rural areas might expertise 2 to four interruptions per day. However the important efforts appear to be paying off. The gasoline for electrical energy is coal and development of recent coal-fired crops is underway. See hyperlinks underneath After Paris! and In search of a Widespread Floor.
Lindzen’s Acceptance: Richard Lindzen’s acceptance of SEPP’s Fredrick Seitz Memorial Award has been posted on Heartland’s web site. Lindzen discusses the lengthy checklist of distinguished scientists who’ve objected to the claims of the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Local weather Change (IPCC) that carbon dioxide (CO2) is the first driver of world warming / local weather change. See hyperlink underneath Difficult the Orthodoxy – Convention
Nature Nailing Mr. Mann? Nature Journal and Nature Geographic had articles that have been inconsistent and questioned Mr. Mann’s well-known hockey-stick. The previous had an article asserting there have been no globally coherent heat and chilly durations over the previous 2,000 years. The latter had a paper asserting that volcanoes have been the reason for the latter a part of the Little Ice Age.
In non-public correspondence on a separate paper, physicist Donald Rapp has identified what is known as “International Warming” since 1880 could also be higher termed “Arctic Warming.” Significantly since 1910 warming has been far higher in latitudes above 60ºN than elsewhere. Above 60ºN, temperatures fell from 1940 to 1970 and rose once more since. Given the complexity of the globe’s local weather system, constant international warming appears unlikely. See hyperlinks underneath Speaking Higher to the Public – Exaggerate, or be Imprecise?
Additions and Corrections: Richard Lindzen made an essential distinction in correct terminology when discussing the scientific methodology: the scientific methodology as generally described refers to experimental sciences the place one can have managed experiments. The scenario for observational sciences is profoundly completely different. There aren’t any managed experiments, and one can’t typically show something; one can solely enhance confidence. So, we will take a look at hypotheses utilizing managed experiments. However we can’t take a look at them utilizing observational strategies, solely assist or refute them.
Evidently, testing unvalidated fashions in opposition to different unvalidated fashions, or components thereof, which is commonly executed and known as “mannequin experiments” doesn’t qualify as a managed experiment.
SEPP’S APRIL FOOLS AWARD
The voting is closed and the winner who most intently meets the qualification is being chosen. No lacking shards right here, one hopes.
Variety of the Week: 1998 and 2016: Roy Spencer experiences that within the atmospheric temperature database reported by the College of Alabama in Huntsville, the July temperatures for 2019 have been exceeded in 1998 and 2016. See hyperlinks underneath Measurement Points – Ambiance.
NEWS YOU CAN USE:
Commentary: Is the Solar Rising?
The Solar’s Climate Cycle Could Begin in ‘Tsunamis,’ Finish with ‘Terminators’
A tsunami of plasma rushes via the solar earlier than a brand new sunspot cycle begins.
By Passant Rabie, Area.com, July 30, 2019 [H/t GWPF]
CG2 and Ex Submit Choosing
By Stephen McIntyre, Local weather Audit, July 31, 2019
What number of silent skeptics are there at NOAA? Dr. Rex Fleming speaks out after years of working there
By Jo Nova, Her Weblog, Aug 1, 2019
“A big a part of the issue are the science organisations. Fleming talks about how there are three scientific organisations within the USA which won’t permit dialogue from any skeptical viewpoint and he factors the finger at: American Meteorology Society (AMS), American Geophysical Union — AGU, and the American Affiliation for the Development of Science — AAAS (which publishes “Science” supposedly one of many prestigious science journals on the earth).”
Suppressing Scientific Inquiry
Hoaxing Tutorial Journals Now Forbidden
[A teacher at] Portland State College says submitting faux papers to journals explicitly to evaluate their rigour is an ethics violation.
By Donna Laframboise, Massive Image Information, July 29, 2019
“Relatively than celebrating the Boghossian staff as satirists par excellence, since final October Portland State College [Oregon] has subjected Boghossian to a few separate investigations. One decided that no animals have been harmed. One other discovered ‘no implications of plagiarism, fabrication, and falsification.’ A 3rd, nonetheless, decided that he violated ‘human topics’ rights.’”
[SEPP Comment: What about the “rights” of students constantly subjected to poorly executed science?]
Why Tutorial Hoaxes are Lethal Severe
Tax are getting used to brainwash younger individuals with arrant, harmful nonsense.
By Donna Laframboise, Massive Image Information, July 31, 2019
Difficult the Orthodoxy — NIPCC
Local weather Change Reconsidered II: Bodily Science
Idso, Carter, and Singer, Lead Authors/Editors, Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change (NIPCC), 2013
Local weather Change Reconsidered II: Organic Impacts
Idso, Idso, Carter, and Singer, Lead Authors/Editors, Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change (NIPCC), 2014
Local weather Change Reconsidered II: Fossil Fuels
By A number of Authors, Bezdek, Idso, Legates, and Singer eds., Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change, April 2019
Obtain with no cost:
Why Scientists Disagree About International Warming
The NIPCC Report on the Scientific Consensus
By Craig D. Idso, Robert M. Carter, and S. Fred Singer, Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change (NIPCC), Nov 23, 2015
Obtain with no cost:
Nature, Not Human Exercise, Guidelines the Local weather
S. Fred Singer, Editor, NIPCC, 2008
International Sea-Degree Rise: An Analysis of the Information
By Craig D. Idso, David Legates, and S. Fred Singer, Heartland Coverage Temporary, Could 20, 2019
My new video – Local weather Change Reconsidered II: Fossil Fuels
By Anthony Watts, WUWT, July 14, 2019
Difficult the Orthodoxy
Is CO2 a Driver of Temperature, Climate or Sea Degree?
By Thomas Wysmuller, TRCS staff, July 2018
[SEPP Comment: In the discussion of Tidewater Virginia, Wysmuller didn’t recognize the importance of groundwater extraction in its land subsidence.]
Maximise the present technology’s wealth and overview any CO2 points in 2050
By Sanjeev Sabhlok, Seeing the Invisible. By way of The Occasions of India, Aug 1, 2019
“As a rule of thumb, 80 per cent of coverage improvement ought to be about understanding the issue. As soon as an issue is known, the answer typically commends itself.
“However within the case of local weather change, policymakers have bypassed this step and are insisting on ‘fixing’ the ‘downside’.”
Inconvenient details in regards to the warmth this summer time
By Joseph D’Aleo, CCM, July 28, 2019
“Within the final 7 and 30 days, there have been extra US file lows than highs.”
The 37-problem consensus
By Workers, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, July 31, 2019
“One dragon the nice professor appears unaware of is the “purple dragon” fallacy. Some politician says their insurance policies are saving you from purple dragons. You say there aren’t any purple dragons. They are saying “See? My plan labored. You’re welcome.” And whenever you say “No, no, I imply there by no means was a menace, and there’s no such factor” they accuse you of the psychological mechanism of denial.”
The Studies of Iceland’s Glacial Loss of life Have Been Significantly Exaggerated
By Anthony Watts, American Thinker, Aug 1, 2019
Difficult the Orthodoxy – Convention
13th Worldwide Convention on Local weather Change
Varied audio system, The Heartland Institute, July 25, 2019
[SEPP Comment: Richard Lindzen accepting Frederick Seitz Award under Dinner Keynotes.]
Defending the Orthodoxy
The Harmful Delusion of Optimum International Warming
By Adair Turner, Challenge Syndicate, Aug 1, 2019
By Workers, Vitality Transitions Fee, 2019
“Added up throughout all financial sectors, nonetheless, it’s clear that the entire value of decarbonizing the worldwide economic system can’t presumably exceed 1-2% of world GDP. In actual fact, the precise prices will virtually actually be far decrease, as a result of most such estimates cautiously ignore the potential of basic technological breakthroughs, and preserve conservative estimates of how lengthy and how briskly value reductions in key applied sciences will happen. In 2010, the Worldwide Vitality Company projected a 70% fall in photo voltaic photovoltaic tools prices by 2030. It occurred by 2017.”
“Relatively than counting on apparently refined fashions, climate-change coverage should replicate judgment amid uncertainty. Present traits threaten main however inherently unpredictable antagonistic impacts. Limiting international warming to effectively under 2°C will value at most 1-2% of GDP, and people prices will come down if robust commitments to scale back emissions unleash technological progress and learning-curve results. Given these realities, zero by 2050 is an economically rational goal.”
[SEPP Comment: Criticizing the economic models of William Nordhaus but failing to realize that the climate models have similar “delusions.”]
The Very important Subsequent Step In Preventing Local weather Change
By Steve Denning, Forbes, July 28, 2019
“What we should now do is to create a totally empowered nationwide local weather change company, devoted completely to local weather change, with a mandate to arrange the rigorously thought-through technical foundation for an audacious motion plan and with the political clout to make an affect.”
[SEPP Comment; Disagree with the premise: “Climate change is the crisis of our time. As the human race sleepwalks its way towards a planetary calamity, there is a growing recognition of the need for a ‘moonshot’ aimed at addressing the greatest existential challenge we have ever faced.”]
A-listers flock to Google summit in non-public jets, mega yachts to speak local weather change
By Emily Smith and Ebony Bowden, Web page Six, July 30, 2019
Overseas Coverage: Democracy is the Enemy of Local weather Motion
Visitor essay by Eric Worrall, WUWT, July 28, 2019
Hyperlink to article: Democracy Is the Planet’s Greatest Enemy
Younger individuals care rather a lot about local weather change—however most of them can’t vote. Right here’s how governments can adapt to accommodate them.
By David Runciman, Overseas Coverage, July 20, 2019
Towards Local weather Panic, for Local weather Hope
By David French, Nationwide Evaluation, July 25, 2019
[SEPP Comment: Another suggestion: the fear of CO2-causing dangerous warming is caused by those claiming to be scientists failing to apply the scientific method. Their science is unfettered by evidence.]
30 Yr Anniversary of the UN 1989 “10 years to save lots of the world” Local weather Warning
Visitor essay by Eric Worrall, WUWT, June 30, 2019
Local weather Change Can’t Be Left to the Scientists
Steve Bullock simply wasn’t proper.
By Robinson Meyer, The Atlantic, July 31, 2019
Questioning the Orthodoxy
Why Ought to We Subsidize Tomorrow’s Wealthy within the Title of the Local weather?
By Sanjeev Sabhlok, The Occasions of India, By way of GWPF, July 29, 2019
Ross McKitrick: Actuality verify — there is no such thing as a ‘local weather emergency’ in Vancouver
OPINION: Clearly, there’s no local weather emergency in Metro Vancouver. Amid the bizarre variability of nature, right now’s climate is about the identical because it’s been for way back to the information go.
By Ross McKitrick, Vancouver Solar, July 23, 2019
12 New Papers Present Strong Proof The Earth Was Hotter Throughout Medieval Occasions
By Kenneth Richard, No Tips Zone, July 29, 2019
Debate ends, spike at 11
By Workers, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, July 31, 2019
New German E-book Casts Doubt Over Alarmist International Warming Claims: “No Consensus” …”Even Severe Dissent”
By P Gosselin, No Tips Zone, Aug 2, 2019
[SEPP Comment: Question the statement: “The result shows that there is general agreement on the principles of the greenhouse effect and its anthropogenic intensification. The key question is how sensitive are the globe’s temperatures to increasing CO2?]
India Inexperienced Lights Fossil Fuels, Declares Electrification and Clear Cooking for All Rural Properties by 2022
By Vijay Jayaraj, Grasp Useful resource, July 30, 2019
“India’s desires of manufacturing electrical energy for 1.three billion individuals got here true in 2016 when the nation introduced an vitality surplus, i.e. vitality manufacturing exceeded the demand for it. The nation credited this success to its robust coal industry, which noticed important development even because the anti-fossil international institutions have been eager on making the nation abandon coal.”
Social Advantages of Carbon Dioxide
Actual-world Proof that CO2 Emissions and Fossil Vitality Improve the Human Surroundings
By Craig Idso, ICCC13 (Panel three: Scientific Observations), The Heartland Institute, July 25, 2019
Slides and textual content of Idso’s presentation
CO2 – Inexperienced Earth and Financial savings Lives
By H. Leighton Steward, Geologist, Environmentalist, Creator, Retired vitality industry exec, Gulf Coast Affiliation of Geological Societies Conference, Shreveport, Louisiana TRCS, Oct 1, 2018
In search of a Widespread Floor
Cleaner Air: 60 Years Of Progress
By Fred Lipfert, ACSH, July 23, 2019
Evaluation of Latest Scientific Articles by CO2 Science
The Response of 4 Woody Ecosystems to Atmospheric CO2 Enrichment
Walker, A.P., De Kauwe, M.G., Medlyn, B.E., Zaehle, S., Iversen, C.M., Asao, S., Guenet, B., Harper, A., Hickler, T., Hungate, B.A., Jain, A.Ok., Luo, Y., Lu, X., Lu, M., Luus, Ok., Megonigal, J.P., Oren, R., Ryan, E., Shu, S., Talhelm, A., Wang, Y.-P., Warren, J.M., Werner, C., Xia, J., Yang, B., Zak, D.R. and Norby, R.J. 2019. Decadal biomass increment in early secondary succession woody ecosystems is elevated by CO2 enrichment. Nature Communications 10: 454, DOI: 10.1038/s41467-019-08348-1. July 29, 2019
“The above findings signify a really constructive consequence when it comes to the expansion and productiveness of woody ecosystems in response to elevated ranges of atmospheric CO2, which constructive consequence will probably be realized within the many years to return because the air’s CO2 content material continues to rise in response to humanity’s use of fossil vitality. And that’s nice information for the terrestrial biosphere!”
Fashions v. Observations
Two European Professors: IPCC Local weather Modeling Methodology Opens Door To “Faux Conclusions” …”Manipulations””
By P Gosselin, No Tips Zone, July 30, 2019
[SEPP Comment: As many recording stations in Siberia and Northern Canada fell rapidly, average temperatures increased rapidly.]
Measurement Points — Floor
The significance of the CRN and what’s it telling us?
By Joseph D’Aleo, CCM, ICECAP, Aug 1, 2019
[SEPP Comment: Shows that the surface temperature data in the US Climate Reference Network (CRN) have significant errors prior to 2000.]
July was earth’s hottest month ever recorded
By Rachel Frazin, The Hill, Aug 2, 2019
July 2019 Was Not the Warmest on File
By Roy Spencer, His Weblog, Aug 2, 2019
However, how can they know the distinction? As a result of good knowledge produce good climate forecasts; unhealthy knowledge don’t.
[SEPP Comment: See link immediately above.]
‘Hidden’ NOAA temperature knowledge reveals that 6 of the final 9 months have been under regular within the USA – and NOAA can’t even get June proper
By Anthony Watts, WUWT, July 30, 2019
“One wonders if screaming headlines about “hottest ever” this month would even exist if the world had a world model of the U.S. Local weather Reference Community the place the information was high quality managed, and measurements taken far-off from the human induced warmth of urbanization.”
June International Temperature falls Zero.04C
By Clive Finest, His Weblog, July 27, 2019 [H/t GWPF]
“The worldwide averaged floor temperature for June 2019 was Zero.62C utilizing my spherical triangulation methodology merging GHCNV3 with HadSST3. This can be a additional drop of Zero.04C from Could 2018. The discrepancy with GHCNV4 is nonetheless rising. V4C calculated in precisely the identical manner provides a June temperature of Zero.75C, an increase of Zero.03C, and Zero.13C hotter than V3. This distinction is statistically important.”
Murray Bridge, South Australia, the place thermometers file junk each day
By Jo Nova, Her Weblog July 30, 2019
[SEPP Comment: Carefully mapping of what is wrong doesn’t make it right!]
Maitland SA: One other professional thermometer website — and with incinerator “forcing”
By Jo Nova, Her Weblog Aug three, 2019
Lingen Cheated: Germany’s New All-Time File Excessive Resulted From DWD Climate Service Awful Station Siting
By P Gosselin, No Tips Zone, July 28, 2019
Measurement Points — Ambiance
UAH International Temperature Replace for July, 2019: +Zero.38 deg. C
By Roy Spencer, His Weblog, Aug 1, 2019
EPIC: The Final Probability for Nationwide Climate Service Climate Modeling to Regain Management?
By Cliff Mass, Climate and Local weather Weblog, Aug 2, 2019
“And the U.S. Air Drive already deserted the U.S. modeling system for a non-American mannequin (UKMET Workplace Unified Mannequin). When the U.S. navy provides up the American mannequin, you already know you have got an issue. I’ll let all of you already know what occurs.”
English Summer time Failing To Meet Alarmist Expectations! (Once more)
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, Aug 1, 2019
The Unbelievable Heatwave Of August, 1918
The Midwest had twenty-five days over 100 levels throughout August, 1918.
By Tony Heller, The Deplorable Local weather science Weblog, Aug 2, 2019
[SEPP Comment; Will August 2019 top it?]
North Carolina coastal flooding is worsening with local weather change, inhabitants development
By Workers, NSF, July 25, 2019
Hyperlink to paper: Latest improve in catastrophic tropical cyclone flooding in coastal North Carolina, USA: Lengthy-term observations recommend a regime shift
Hans W. Paerl, et al., Scientific Studies, July 23, 2019
[SEPP Comment: Hurricanes targeted North Carolina in 1954, 1960 and since 1999 with the precision of a rifle marksman?]
New Orleans and hurricane Katrina – the right story
By Morten Jødal, biologist, (translated from Norwegian by Tim Crome), WUWT, Aug 2, 2019
“The article was written primarily based on the background data offered by the Hurricane Katrina exhibition on the Louisiana State Museum, New Orleans.”
[SEPP Comment: Leaves out the successful lawsuits by environmental groups using FEMA to stop building of an effective barrier gate system to protect the city, and the local politicians diverting federal monies to build levees for personal benefit.]
City Flooding – It’s Not About Local weather
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, July 31, 2019
[SEPP Comment: The main problem is poor storm water management, not storm water.]
The place to bury a reef
By Workers, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, July 31, 2019
Biblical Metropolis Ur Used To Sit On The Persian Gulf Coast 6000 Years In the past. Immediately Its Ruins Sit 200 km Inland.
By Kenneth Richard, No Tips Zone, Aug 1, 2019
[SEPP Remark: The important thing query is how tectonically secure is the realm?
Altering local weather boosts Maine lobster industry — for now
By Rebecca Beitsch, The Hill, July 31, 2019
[SEPP Remark: Floor temperatures mustn’t have an effect on the industry. Divers can get lobsters off Maryland, in areas that present lobsters shelter. Maine’s rocky coast gives safety. The decline of the industry in Rhode Island could also be the results of overfishing, not water floor temperatures.]
Local weather Science Meets Actuality on the Water’s Edge
By Jack Weatherall, Quadrant, Aug three, 2019
Altering Cryosphere – Land / Sea Ice
Glaciologists Unveil Most Exact Map Ever of Antarctic Ice Velocity
Challenge Utilized 25 Years of Information From Six worldwide Satellite tv for pc Missions
Press Launch Bompey and Bell, AGU 100, July 29, 2019
Hyperlink to paper: Continent‐vast, interferometric SAR part, mapping of Antarctic ice velocity
By J. Mouginot, E. Rignot, and B. Scheuchl, Geophysical Analysis Letters, July 29, 2019
How a lot water does a snowpack maintain?
Press Launch, NSF, July 19, 2019
Hyperlink to paper: Changing snow depth to snow water equal utilizing climatological variables
By David F. Hill, et al, The Cryosphere, July four, 2019
Sea ice adjoining to all main polar bear onshore summer time refugia at 31 July 2019
By Susan Crockford, Polar Bear Science, Aug 2, 2019
Scientists say 200 Arctic reindeer died final yr as a consequence of local weather change
By Rebecca Klar, The Hill, July 31, 2019
[SEPP Comment: What is the size of the herd and the expected life span? Why blame weather events on climate change?]
Shockingly thick first yr ice between Barents Sea and the North Pole in mid-July
By Susan Crockford, Polar Bear Science, July 29, 2019
RCMP on manhunt spot a fats polar bear removed from the coast of Western Hudson Bay
By Susan Crockford, Polar Bear Science, July 28, 2019
Research in Antarctic waters reveals why Ross Ice Shelf melts in summer time
Native components influencing ice shelf’s stability refine sea stage predictions
Press Launch, NSF, July 26, 2019
Evolution of the Seasonal Floor Blended Layer of the Ross Sea, Antarctica, Noticed With Autonomous Profiling Floats
By David F. Porter, et al, JGR Oceans, July 5, 2019
Volcanoes formed the local weather earlier than humankind
Press launch, College of Bern, July 24, 2019 [H/t GWPF]
Hyperlink to paper: Final part of the Little Ice Age compelled by volcanic eruptions
By Article Stefan Brönnimann, et al. Nature Geoscience, July 24, 2019
“The examine exhibits that the pre-industrial local weather was not fixed: if one takes this chilly interval as the place to begin for present international warming, the local weather has already warmed up greater than assumed within the present discussions.”
Agriculture Points & Concern of Famine
Ignore Local weather Hysteria: World Grain Crop Set to Break File
By Workers, The Weekly Occasions, AU, By way of GWPF, July 31, 2019
French 2019 comfortable wheat crop to be 2nd largest in historical past – Agritel
By Fawad Magsood, Enterprise Recorder, July 30, 2019 [H/t GWPF]
ABC Local weather Zombie Myths and Fantasy Strawmen. Who’s feeding the trolls?
By Jo Nova, Her Weblog July 28, 2019
UK’s Ten Warmest Years–What The BBC Forgot To Inform You!
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, July 31, 2019
Speaking Higher to the Public – Exaggerate, or be Imprecise?
Local weather scientists drive stake via coronary heart of skeptics’ argument
New analysis exhibits that the current rise in international temperatures is in contrast to something seen on Earth through the previous 2,000 years.
By Jaclyn Jeffrey-Wilensky, NBC Information, July 24, 2019
Hyperlink to first paper: No proof for globally coherent heat and chilly durations over the preindustrial Widespread Period
By Raphael Neukom et al., Nature, July 24, 2019
Hyperlink to second paper: Final part of the Little Ice Age compelled by volcanic eruptions
By Stefan Brönnimann, Nature Geoscience, July 24, 2019
Prepare for brand spanking new types of excessive climate: hurricanes plus warmth waves
By Sarah DeWeerdt, Anthropocene, July 23, 2019 [H/t Bernie Kepshire]
Mongolia’s Capital Banned Coal To Repair Its Air pollution Downside. Will It Work?
By Emily Kwong, NPR, July 30, 2019
[SEPP Comment: The air is similar to Pittsburg in the 1920s. The article highlights a critical need for coal-fired centralized power plants with appropriate filters to replace coal for residential heating. The headline writer missed the point.]
Coal’s Demise Quickens in Europe as Market Shift Idles Vegetation
Use of the dirtiest fossil gasoline has dropped this yr as economics favor utilizing cheaper pure gasoline.
By Jeremy Hodges, Mathew Carr , and William Wilkes, Bloomberg, July 22, 2019
[SEPP Comment: Typical propaganda photos of steam coming from chimneys by Bloomberg.]
Speaking Higher to the Public – Make issues up.
Faux “Heatwave for Greenland” Claims
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, July 30, 2019
Greenland Ice sheet Meltdown Scare–Besides It’s Not True
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Folks Know That, Aug 1, 2019
Speaking Higher to the Public – Use Propaganda on Youngsters
Youngster prophets and proselytizers of local weather disaster
By Andy West, Local weather And so on. July 29, 2019
‘Eco-Anxiousness’: Vogue Advises Mother and father On Children With Local weather Change ‘Nightmares’
By Gabriel Hays, MRC Information Busters, July 29, 2019 [H/t GWPF]
Increasing the Orthodoxy
Native governments ought to avoid local weather dogma
By Charles Battig, CFACT, July 27, 2019
Questioning European Inexperienced
Electrical energy Payments May Double to Bail out new Wind Farms, Report Claims,
By Workers, Sunday Telegraph, UK, July 27, 2019
Hyperlink to report: Who’s the Patsy? Offshore wind’s high-stakes poker recreation
By Gordon Hughes, GWPF, 2019
One view is that a group of enormous and complicated abroad traders have satisfied themselves to tear up massive numbers of financial institution notes within the chilly maritime circumstances of the northern North Sea. An alternate view is that traders are ready to guess that the UK Authorities will pressure via a big improve within the wholesale value of electrical energy, maybe via a big improve in carbon taxes, thus permitting the traders to make an inexpensive return. In that case, the last word patsy on the poker desk is the British public.
Given the previous file of UK ministers and officers within the vitality subject, this appears to be the extra probably consequence. The one actual doubt is how the capitulation will probably be dressed up and what the implications will probably be for the UK’s economic system
[SEPP Comment: Those claiming offshore wind costs are dropping may find it is not so.]
Questioning Inexperienced Elsewhere
Gwyn Morgan: Listed here are a couple of climate-change head scratchers for Canadian voters to ponder
An eclectic checklist of little-known details, head-scratching paradoxes and utter hypocrisy
By Gwyn Morgan, Monetary Submit, July 30, 2019
AOC’s Inexperienced New Deal would value $70Ok-plus per family in first yr: Research
Analysis by free-market think-tanks estimates prices in 5 states
By Valerie Richardson, The Washington Occasions, July 30, 2019
What the Inexperienced New Deal May Price a Typical Family
By Kent Lassman, Daniel Turner, CEI, July 30, 2019
Quebec inexperienced fund cash used for pet initiatives, new minister prices
By Giuseppe Valiante , The Canadian Press, July 28, 2019
The Political Video games Proceed
Senate Freeway Invoice with First-Ever Local weather Title Unanimously Clears Committee
By Ben Lieberman, CEI, Aug 2, 2019
“There’s additionally funding to make roads and bridges extra resilient in opposition to the intense climate, which some lawmakers assume will improve within the years forward.”
[SEPP Comment: Will the increased resilience against extreme weather apply to colder weather?]
Subsidies and Mandates Without end
German market collapse hits European onshore wind stats
Solely 2.9GW of land-based capability added in Europe in H1, whereas offshore installations rise to 1.9GW
By Bernd Radowitz in Berlin, Recharge Wind, July 25, 2019
EPA and different Regulators on the March
DOE Revisits Pressured Electrification (Decarbonization) Guidelines re Non-condensing Furnaces, Water Heaters
By Mark Krebs, Grasp Useful resource, Aug 1, 2019
Vitality Points – Non-US
International warming: the UK’s costly and futile gesture politics – Continued
By Ruth Lea, The Conservative Girl, Aug 1, 2019 [H/t GWPF]
“Beneath these circumstances, it could possibly solely be concluded the CCA’s actual function was to reveal British local weather management. That is futile gesture politics by any requirements, particularly because the UK’s share of world carbon emissions is simply over 1 per cent.”
[SEPP Comment: Did Climate Change Act 2008 (CCA) demonstrate leadership in Russian Roulette?]
Vitality Points — US
Fixing the Rigged Marketplace for Electrical energy
By Donn Dears, Energy For USA, July 30, 2019
Milton Friedman on Crony Capitalism within the US Oil Trade
By Robert Bradley Jr., Grasp Useful resource, July 31, 2019
“Few U.S. industries sing the praises of free enterprise extra loudly than the oil industry. But few industries rely so closely on particular governmental favors.” (Milton Friedman, 1967)
“The political energy of the oil industry, not nationwide safety, is the rationale for the current subsidies to the industry. Worldwide disturbances merely supply a handy excuse.”
[SEPP Comment: Some of the issues regarding the oil industry are dated, but similar arguments are used for different industries, including wind and solar.]
Unrealistic Vitality Insurance policies Sting American Shoppers
By David Spigelmyer, Actual Clear Vitality July 30, 2019
Oil and Pure Gasoline – the Future or the Previous?
How Arctic Drilling Will Trample Junk Science Obstructionism
By David Middleton, WUWT, July 29, 2019
Web Zero Pure Gasoline Plant — The Recreation Changer
By James Conca, Forbes, July 31, 2019
[SEPP Comment: May be a great improvement. However, carbon dioxide sequestration may be problematic.]
Nuclear Vitality and Fears
Constructive Developments for Small Modular Reactors
By Aaron Larson, Energy Magazine, July 29, 2019
Vogtle Nuclear Growth Unlikely to Meet Aggressive Schedule Deadline
By Aaron Larson, Energy Magazine, July 31, 2019
Different, Inexperienced (“Clear”) Photo voltaic and Wind
Vitality & Environmental E-newsletter: July 29, 2019
By John Droz, Jr., Grasp Useful resource, July 29, 2019
Different, Inexperienced (“Clear”) Vitality — Different
Europe’s first hyperloop a step nearer to providing a inexperienced various to short-haul flights
Press Launch, Hardt, June 26, 2019
“’After 2 years of analysis and onerous work we’re the primary in Europe to finish a practical hyperloop system. Not solely that, we’ve developed a lane-switching mechanism that permits us to construct a hyperloop community within the near-future.’ – Mars Geuze, CCO Hardt Hyperloop.”
Different, Inexperienced (“Clear”) Vitality — Storage
How large a battery?
By G. Cornelis van Kootena, Patrick Withey and Jon Duana, Renewable Vitality, February 2020
“Will probably be very costly and require an enormous battery to depend on 100% renewables.”
Different, Inexperienced (“Clear”) Automobiles
The 2018 EPA Automotive Tendencies Report: Greenhouse Gasoline Emissions, Gas Economic system and Expertise since 1975
By Workers, EPA, March 2019 [H/t Donald Rapp]
CA auto deal pure politics, loaded with misleading “credit”, zero local weather change affect
Visitor essay by Larry Hamlin, WUWT, July 30, 2019
California Dreaming and Erosion “Crises”
Visitor Submit by Jim Steele, July 30, 2019
Iconic California seashores have misplaced most of their biodiversity
By Workers, NSF, July 31, 2019
Hyperlink to press launch: The Urbanization of the Seashore
A few of Southern California’s most iconic and well-liked seashores have misplaced half of their biodiversity, in line with marine scientists
By Sonia Fernandz, The Present, July 31, 2019
“Assist for this analysis was offered by California Sea Grant, College of Southern California Sea Grant, the Ocean Safety Council, the Nationwide Science Basis’s Lengthy Time period Ecological Analysis program, the California Coastal Fee, the Bureau of Ocean Vitality Administration and the united states Coastal Fund.”
[SEPP Comment: Human use reduces biodiversity? What is the course of action?]
Well being, Vitality, and Local weather
Burkina Faso is combating malaria — with genetically modified mosquitoes
By Workers Writers, PRI, July four, 2019 [H/t GWPF]
Environmental Extremists Favor Mosquitoes Over Mankind
By Richard Pattern, The Wall Road Journal, By way of GWPPF, July 30, 2019
Overshoot Day: German ARD Public Tv Calls For Shoppers To Be Punished By “So Rattling Costly” Costs
By P Gosselin, No Tips Zone, July 31, 2019
Different Scientific Information
NASA “Stunned”: Undetected Metropolis Killer Asteroid Simply Whizzed By Earth
Visitor essay by Eric Worrall, WUWT, July 29, 2019
GOES-17 Mishap Investigation Board Research Accomplished
By Workers Writers, Washington DC (SPX), Aug 02, 2019
Hyperlink to report: Public Launch Abstract of the Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite tv for pc-17 (GOES-17) Superior Baseline Imager (ABI) Loop Warmth Pipe (LHP) Mishap Investigation Board Report
By Workers, NASA, July 19, 2019
Different Information that Could Be of Curiosity
Opioids: Unhealthy Science, Unhealthy Coverage, Unhealthy Outcomes
By Henry I. Miller and Josh Bloom, Points and Insights, July 26, 2019
Despite such findings indicating that the crux of the issue will not be physician-prescribed opioids however illicit fentanyl and its analogs smuggled from overseas, just like the drunk within the parable the feds and state governments are trying within the flawed place.
[SEPP Comment: An all too common reaction from bureaucrats – ignore the cause of the problem, punish the patient.]
India’s tiger inhabitants surges to just about three,000 cats, bringing hope for endangered species
By Aris Folley, The Hill, July 30, 2019
BELOW THE BOTTOM LINE:
Unhealthy day on the workplace: Local weather change activists protest exterior the flawed constructing
By Sebastian McCarthy, Metropolis A.M., July 30, 2019
Local weather Geoengineering Prizewinner: Refreeze the Arctic with a Massive Cell Submarine
Visitor essay by Eric Worrall, WUWT, July 27, 2019
Preventing Local weather Change with Dance: Humanities Professors Demand Illustration on Science Groups
“We fear that overemphasis on science might hamper the design of efficient local weather options.”
Visitor essay by Eric Worrall, WUWT, Aug 2, 2019
Friday Humorous: Consultants Warn We Have Solely 12 Years Left Till They Change The Timeline On International Warming Once more
By Anthony Watts, WUWT, Aug 2, 2019
Effectively executed, Greta Thunberg!
By Charles the Moderator, WUWT, July 30, 2019
[SEPP Comment: Surely the boat, sails, etc. will not contain hydrocarbons.]
1. Compromise Can Promote Inexperienced Coverage Targets
Our vitality future will look completely different than its previous. That transition is underneath manner, but it surely doesn’t must be a binary alternative between 100% renewables or unmitigated carbon emissions from fossil fuels
Letter By Kathy Fackler, Residents’ Local weather Foyer, July 31, 2019
SUMMARY: boldface added]
Relating to Robert Bryce’s “A Actuality Verify for Photo voltaic and Wind” (op-ed, July 22): Basic math might present that oil and gasoline manufacturing is leaving photo voltaic and wind within the shade, however easy physics exhibits that carbon-dioxide emissions from fossil fuels harm our local weather and our future prosperity. Our vitality future will look completely different than its previous. That transition is underneath manner, but it surely doesn’t must be a binary alternative between 100% renewables or unmitigated carbon emissions from fossil fuels.
“Good coverage planning would defend our vitality provide whereas additionally lowering the prices and dangers related to greenhouse-gas emissions. On Jan. 17 the Journal printed “Economists’ Assertion on Carbon Dividends” signed by three,500 U.S. economists, together with all dwelling former chairs of the Federal Reserve and 15 former chairmen of the president’s Council of Financial Advisers, urging speedy nationwide motion to handle local weather change, and calling a carbon tax “’essentially the most cost-effective lever to scale back carbon emissions on the scale and velocity that’s crucial.’
“If the price of air pollution is included in the price of vitality, the market will effectively shift towards cleaner types of vitality, together with pure gasoline, renewables and nuclear.”
[SEPP Comment: The physics of the greenhouse effect is about as simple as the physics of quantum mechanics. The fact the economists agree that taxes are the most effective way to stop consumption of a particular good does not mean the tax is needed or desirable. Dividends returning the taxes is highly questionable.]
2. California Bans Trump
The state passes a regulation to bar him from the first poll.
Editorial, WSJ, July 31, 2019
SUMMARY: The article states:
“Keep in mind all that angst and anger expressed by progressives that President Trump would ignore judicial orders, rig election legal guidelines, and possibly even refuse to surrender energy if he loses in 2020? We’re nonetheless ready for any of that to occur. However that hasn’t stopped Democrats from stretching the Structure to defeat Mr. Trump.
“The newest instance got here Tuesday from California when Governor Gavin Newsom signed a regulation that will bar Mr. Trump from the state main poll except he discloses his tax returns. That’s proper. California Democrats try to maintain a sitting President from operating for re-election of their state.
“‘These are extraordinary instances and states have a authorized and ethical responsibility to do all the things of their energy to make sure leaders in search of the very best workplaces meet minimal requirements, and to revive public confidence,’ Mr. Newsom, a Democrat, mentioned in a press release.
“Even when this implies rigging the poll to defeat an opponent they detest? Apparently so. We’re on file saying Mr. Trump ought to launch his tax returns, however there’s nothing within the Structure that claims he should. Individuals can issue his refusal into their voting calculations, and most Democratic presidential candidates have launched their tax returns or promised that they are going to.
California could also be violating the Structure with this regulation. Mr. Trump’s legal professionals are promising a authorized problem, they usually have a robust case that a state can’t add onerous for poll entry that transcend the Structure’s necessities for age, citizenship and residency. That was the idea for the Supreme Courtroom resolution barring time period limits in Congressional elections.
“That is one cause that Jerry Brown, Mr. Newsom’s predecessor, vetoed an identical invoice in 2017. ‘First, it might not be constitutional,’ Mr. Brown wrote in a veto assertion, and the remainder is price quoting at size:
“‘Second, it units a ‘slippery slope’ precedent. Immediately we require tax returns, however what can be subsequent? 5 years of well being information? An authorized beginning certificates? Highschool report playing cards? And can these necessities differ relying on which political celebration is in energy? A professional candidate’s skill to look on the poll is prime to our democratic system. For that cause, I hesitate to start out down a street that effectively would possibly result in an ever escalating set of differing state necessities for presidential candidates.’
The article concludes by discussing the potential of Republicans doing the identical in different states in opposition to Democratic nominees and the potential of Trump interesting.