Weekly Local weather and Power Information Roundup #369

The Week That Was: 2019-07-27 (July 27, 2019)
Delivered to You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org)
The Science and Environmental Coverage Venture

Quote of the Week: “For a profitable expertise, actuality should take priority over public relations, for nature can’t be fooled.” – Richard P. Feynman, remaining sentence in his report on the Challenger catastrophe.

Variety of the Week: 1934

THIS WEEK:

By Ken Haapala, President, Science and Environmental Coverage Venture (SEPP)

The Scientific Technique – SEPP: For some, the time period “science” is a political slogan. Similar to, “science helps my program.” Additional, authorities entities entrusted to provide scientific experiences are regularly drifting away from rigorous science and extra in direction of analysis utilizing unvalidated fashions. The US Fourth Nationwide Local weather Evaluation produced by the US World Change Analysis Program (USGCRP) and its 13 authorities entities is a wonderful instance. The Summaries for Policymakers of the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Local weather Change (IPCC) have grow to be largely political. So are its particular experiences corresponding to “World Warming of 1.5 ºC” in October 2018. Such experiences are harming the general public. As mentioned in final week’s TWTW, the psychiatric and psychological communities are figuring out sufferers as affected by “local weather misery,” “local weather grief,” “local weather anxiousness” or “eco-anxiety.”

Sadly, these authorities funded teams look like so pushed by means of unvalidated fashions, that they don’t care concerning the hurt they trigger or the scientific integrity of their experiences. TWTW and SEPP have been looking for an correct strategy to determine correctly carried out analysis as in contrast with analysis utilizing unvalidated fashions additionally known as science. At one level, TWTW used the time period “empirical science.” However Professor Christopher Essex of the Division of Utilized Arithmetic on the College of Western Ontario demonstrated the phrases “empiricism” and “empirical science” have grow to be murky as nicely.

Following the rules of The Proper Local weather Stuff staff, rigorous adherence to the scientific technique often is the acceptable information for evaluating experiences. The scientific technique has been developed for the reason that 17th century and is a vital contribution from Western Civilization to humanity. It’s a process that entails systematic statement, cautious measurement, experimentation, and the creation, rigorous testing, and modifications of hypotheses. Skepticism is a crucial a part of the scientific technique.

On its web site, SEPP has posted a mission assertion that features:

“SEPP questions the usage of fashions for public coverage except the fashions have been appropriately verified and validated. Irrespective of how elaborate, outcomes from numerical fashions that aren’t totally examined towards onerous proof are speculative and can’t be relied upon. Testing the outcomes of a mannequin through the use of elements of the mannequin towards the outcomes from your complete mannequin is a ruse, used all too regularly. Evaluating a mannequin with comparable fashions isn’t mannequin validation. They could have comparable errors.

“Logic can carry fashions solely thus far. In the event that they fail any assessments towards related information, the fashions should be modified or discarded. Omitting crucial information violates the scientific technique.”

The above quote from Richard Feynman got here from his investigation of the Challenger catastrophe. Crucial information had been ignored by NASA’s administration. The primary two paragraphs of Feynman’s report bear repeating:

“It seems that there are huge variations of opinion as to the chance of a failure with lack of automobile and of human life. The estimates vary from roughly 1 in 100 to 1 in 100,000. The upper figures come from the working engineers, and the very low figures from administration. What are the causes and penalties of this lack of settlement? Since 1 half in 100,000 would suggest that one may put a Shuttle up every day for 300 years anticipating to lose just one, we may correctly ask “What’s the reason behind administration’s improbable religion within the equipment?”

The NASA tradition of the scientists and engineers was danger adversarial. They despatched administration info describing that the O-Rings had been being bypassed with launches at temperatures round freezing. Administration ignored these warmings. Feynman goes on to put in writing:

“We’ve got additionally discovered that certification standards utilized in Flight Readiness Opinions usually develop a step by step reducing strictness. The argument that the identical danger was flown earlier than with out failure is usually accepted as an argument for the protection of accepting it once more. Due to this, apparent weaknesses are accepted many times, generally and not using a sufficiently critical try to treatment them, or to delay a flight due to their continued presence.”

One can ask NASA, NOAA and NCAR/UCAR: “What’s the reason behind administration’s improbable religion within the fashions?” It has been clearly demonstrated that the local weather fashions utilized by NASA, NOAA, and NCAR/UCAR fail to explain present temperature tendencies within the environment, the troposphere, the place the greenhouse impact happens. The outcomes of those unvalidated fashions, contradicted by proof, are projected 100 years therefore, depicting vital warming. Consequently, these organizations and their unvalidated fashions are encouraging authorities insurance policies that might be economically harmful and dangerous to Individuals. See hyperlinks underneath Searching for a Widespread Floor and www.sepp.org.

***************

A Completely different Perspective: Douglas Carson of Louisiana Geological Survey gave an fascinating discuss on the Gulf Coast Affiliation of Geological Societies Conference, which included shows by members of The Proper Local weather Stuff staff. The topic was: “Which is able to dominate future world temperature modifications in subsequent 200 years: photo voltaic irradiance or greenhouse gases?”

He asserts that the proxy information reveals lower in sunspot exercise results in elevated cloudiness, supporting the Svensmark speculation. An enormous downside with drawing any agency conclusions is that every one the main decreases in sunspots occurred earlier than 1850, earlier than the beginnings of any systematic temperature document (although remoted instrument data exist, corresponding to for center England). Thus, the datasets are very skinny and don’t present quite a lot of cooling through the Little Ice Age. (Nonetheless, there are rising proxy information that the Medieval Heat Interval and the Little Ice Age occurred on all continents and was not restricted to Europe as many alarmists declare.)

Carson reveals a graph giving estimates of how a lot daylight is mirrored by totally different clouds, earth surfaces, vegetation, and water our bodies. For instance, thick clouds mirror 70 to 80% of daylight, skinny clouds from 25 to 30%. See hyperlinks underneath Commentary: Is the Solar Rising? and Altering Local weather.

***************

ICCC-13: After a number of years of emphasizing power, The Heartland Institute organized a convention on local weather change in Washington, which was offered out. Sadly, it occurred on July 25, the day earlier than the Home of Representatives went on August recess. Often, there’s a flurry of exercise instantly earlier than a recess. But, two members discovered time to deal with these attending. Each Consultant Jeff Duncan of South Carolina and Tom McClintock of California gave the impression to be attuned to the improper use of local weather fashions, that haven’t been validated, to make predictions.

As an article describing his discuss said, McClintock famous claims by Prince Charles, Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and others that we’ve 18 months to 35 years till catastrophic occasions happen:

“’I suppose I’ve as a lot authority as both of them to make predictions so I’ll give us one other 4 and a half billion years, which is the period of time the local weather’s already been altering on the planet,’ McClintock stated to an appreciative crowd on the Heartland Institute’s conference that includes local weather scientists and different specialists who spent the day making the case towards a artifical local weather disaster.”

The World Warming Coverage Discussion board has posted the slides its president, Benny Peiser, introduced on the conference. His view of the financial prospects of the EU are grim. The EU is a pacesetter within the “hold it within the floor” and anti-fossil fuels actions. But it surely now has the best power costs amongst G20 nations [19 countries plus the EU accounting for about 90% of the world’s gross product and 80% of the world’s trade], its share of the worldwide financial system is falling quickly, and its family electrical energy costs are double these within the G20, whereas industrial electrical energy costs are practically 50% larger. But, CO2 emissions are rising. Put merely, the promise of inexperienced jobs trusted continued subsidies on photo voltaic and wind or breakthroughs in expertise that aren’t materializing. Taxpayers are revolting as rising unrest demonstrates.

Upcoming TWTWs will focus on different shows made on the convention. A normal statement could also be that the scientists making shows agree that carbon dioxide has a small greenhouse impact and the warming impact of a doubling of CO2 is within the vary of 1 to 1.5ºC. See hyperlinks underneath Difficult the Orthodoxy – Convention.

***************

Seeing the Invisible: With a weblog titled “Seeing the Invisible” The Occasions of India carried an editorial by Indian economist Sanjeev Sabhlok. It’s a good tackle Adam Smith’s invisible hand mentioned in his 1776 e book “An Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations” the place people pursuing their very own non-public pursuits profit the society as a complete. The weblog states:

“The weblog is called after Seeing the Invisible, the title of the e book on economics that Sanjeev has written. Economics entails the research of invisible incentives and motivations. Self-seeking ministers and bureaucrats usually work invisibly and insidiously towards the general public curiosity. That is extra so in socialist nations the place governments undertake quite a few pointless capabilities.”

Amongst different feedback, the weblog publish asserts:

“We all know how onerous it’s to cease governments from interfering in our lives. The fee-benefit take a look at was devised particularly to cease bureaucracies from operating amuck [sic] on the slightest scare by forcing them to admit all prices and all advantages.”

“The fee-benefit take a look at can usually be tortuous and is hated by all bureaucrats and ministers, however it’s invaluable in imposing a vital self-discipline on them.”

Sadly, through the use of statistical manipulation, economist Nicholas Stern influenced the UK Parliament to cross the Local weather Change Act 2008. Stern declared world warming / local weather change was a market failure requiring authorities interference. Because the UK public is discovering, Stern significantly underestimated the present prices of the UK decreasing CO2 emissions and overestimated the advantages. The worth of value profit evaluation relies on the integrity of these preforming the evaluation. The actions of US authorities entities in significantly overestimating the present warming of the environment aren’t any higher than the actions of Mr. Stern. See hyperlinks underneath Difficult the Orthodoxy.

***************

Advantages of CO2: Craig Idso, together with his father Sherman Idso, was a serious editor and contributor to the NIPCC e book, “Local weather Change Reconsidered II: Organic Impacts.” This e book references a number of thousand research displaying rising carbon dioxide advantages humanity and the surroundings. Just about all kinds of crops profit. Inexperienced crops produce oxygen and meals, carbohydrates. Thus, animals which use each, straight and not directly, profit as nicely. Not too long ago, Craig mentioned analysis utilizing micro-instruments measuring corals manipulating the pH of the water within the space through which they develop shells, bringing into query that rising CO2 will trigger dangerous modifications in pH of the water – so known as ocean acidification.

Craig introduced the Institute for the Human Atmosphere, “…a non-profit academic group advocating for the continued improvement and enchancment of society and the pure surroundings. Its mission is to assist the unfettered use of fossil fuels in order that the commercial evolution of the human neighborhood can proceed…” We want him success on this notable endeavor. See hyperlink underneath Social Advantages of Carbon Dioxide

*****************

SEPP’S APRIL FOOLS AWARD

THE JACKSON

The voting is closed and the winner who most carefully meets the qualification is being chosen. No lacking shards right here, one hopes.

*****************

Variety of the Week: 1934: Tony Heller has a publish displaying two sides of 1934. Within the northeast US, the winter was extraordinarily chilly. On February 9, 1934, the coldest location was -52ºF at Stillwater Reservoir, NY. Within the central US, the summer season was extraordinarily sizzling and dry. On July 23, 1934, the Chicago Airport hit 109ºF – “the best ever reached on a authorities thermometer right here for the reason that institution of the climate bureau in 1871.” In response to the July 1934 Palmer Modified Drought Index, about half the nation, many of the Midwest was in excessive drought.

But the media and plenty of climate stations proceed to exclaim that excessive climate at present is unprecedented. Is that this the kind of secure climate that alarmists contemplate secure? See hyperlink underneath Altering Climate.

NEWS YOU CAN USE:

Commentary: Is the Solar Rising?

Which is able to dominate future world temperature modifications in subsequent 200 years: photo voltaic irradiance or greenhouse gases?

By Douglas Carson, Louisiana Geological Survey, Gulf Coast Affiliation of Geological Societies Conference, October 1, 2018

https://vimeo.com/324767706

Difficult the Orthodoxy — NIPCC

Local weather Change Reconsidered II: Bodily Science

Idso, Carter, and Singer, Lead Authors/Editors, Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change (NIPCC), 2013

https://www.heartland.org/media-library/pdfs/CCR-II/CCR-II-Full.pdf

Abstract: http://www.nipccreport.org/experiences/ccr2a/pdf/Abstract-for-Policymakers.pdf

Local weather Change Reconsidered II: Organic Impacts

Idso, Idso, Carter, and Singer, Lead Authors/Editors, Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change (NIPCC), 2014

Climate Change Reconsidered II: Biological Impacts

Abstract: https://www.heartland.org/media-library/pdfs/CCR-IIb/Abstract-for-Policymakers.pdf

Local weather Change Reconsidered II: Fossil Fuels

By A number of Authors, Bezdek, Idso, Legates, and Singer eds., Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change, April 2019

http://retailer.heartland.org/store/ccr-ii-fossil-fuels/

Obtain with no cost:

http://climatechangereconsidered.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/Local weather-Change-Reconsidered-II-Fossil-Fuels-FULL-Quantity-with-covers.pdf

Why Scientists Disagree About World Warming

The NIPCC Report on the Scientific Consensus

By Craig D. Idso, Robert M. Carter, and S. Fred Singer, Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change (NIPCC), Nov 23, 2015

Home

Obtain with no cost:

https://www.heartland.org/policy-documents/why-scientists-disagree-about-global-warming

Nature, Not Human Exercise, Guidelines the Local weather

S. Fred Singer, Editor, NIPCC, 2008

http://www.sepp.org/publications/nipcc_final.pdf

World Sea-Stage Rise: An Analysis of the Knowledge

By Craig D. Idso, David Legates, and S. Fred Singer, Heartland Coverage Transient, Could 20, 2019

https://www.heartland.org/_template-assets/paperwork/publications/SeaLevelRiseCCRII.pdf

My new video – Local weather Change Reconsidered II: Fossil Fuels

By Anthony Watts, WUWT, July 14, 2019

My new video – Climate Change Reconsidered II: Fossil Fuels

Difficult the Orthodoxy

Why the precautionary precept is dangerous coverage

By Sanjeev Sabhlok, Seeing the Invisible, Through The Occasions of India, July 23, 2019 [H/t GWPF]

https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/blogs/seeing-the-invisible/why-the-precautionary-principle-is-bad-policy/

Floor Temperature Knowledge of Restricted Scientific Worth Even earlier than Being Manipulated by Alarmists

By Alan Carlin, Carlin Economics and Science, July 22, 2019

Surface Temperature Data of Limited Scientific Value Even before Being Manipulated by Alarmists

Local weather Fashions: Forecasts of the Future?

By David R. Legates, TRCS staff video, Gulf Coast Affiliation of Geological Societies Conference, October 1, 2018

https://vimeo.com/320607614

Local weather Change Democracy Deniers Strike Once more, [With Comments by John]

By Steven Hayward, Energy Line, July 22, 2019

https://www.powerlineblog.com/archives/2019/07/climate-change-democracy-deniers-strike-again.php

“As I’ve been stating for greater than a decade, probably the most ominous contradiction of the environmental left as of late is the way in which through which they champion the rights of nature whereas going together with the remainder of the left in denying human nature, not to mention the pure rights of people—which is the central premise of democratic self-government.”

Difficult the Orthodoxy – Convention

13th Worldwide Convention on Local weather Change

Varied audio system, The Heartland Institute, July 25, 2019

Live Streams

Unbelievable Shrinking Europe–Between Local weather Utopia & Inexperienced Power Disaster

By Benny Peiser, World Warming Coverage Discussion board, Offered at ICCC-13, July 25, 2019

https://www.thegwpf.com/content material/uploads/2019/07/Washington2019-Peiser.pdf

Tom McClintock [Rep. R-CA] on AOC’s Doomsday Local weather Change State of affairs: Four.5 Billion Years to Go

By Penny Starr, Breitbart, July 25, 2019 [H/t Cooler Heads]

https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2019/07/25/tom-mcclintock-on-aocs-doomsday-climate-change-scenario-Four-5-billion-years-to-go/

Defending the Orthodoxy

Implementing The One Viable Answer To Local weather Change

By Steve Denning, Forbes, July 21, 2019

https://www.forbes.com/websites/stevedenning/2019/07/21/implementing-the-one-viable-solution-to-climate-change/#b2eb89711f5f

“The Solely Viable Answer: A New Moon Shot”

[SEPP Comment: The success of the moon shot required rigorous testing of many hypotheses, a process that this author apparently does not understand.]

Army begins activity pressure after spreading poisonous “endlessly chemical compounds”

By Rebecca Beitsch, The Hill, July 24, 2019

https://thehill.com/coverage/energy-environment/454577-military-starts-task-force-after-spreading-toxic-forever-chemicals

[SEPP Comment: Making fire-fighting more dangerous.]

Questioning the Orthodoxy

1980s Science: Ice Cores Present CO2 Naturally Rose 200 ppm (65 ppm/100 Years) Throughout The Early Holocene

By Kenneth Richard, No Methods Zone, July 22, 2019

1980s Science: Ice Cores Show CO2 Naturally Rose 200 ppm (65 ppm/100 Years) During The Early Holocene

1970s: Earth Warmed Zero.6°C From 1880-1940 And Cooled -Zero.Three°C From 1940-1970. Now It’s Zero.1°C And -Zero.05°C.

By Kenneth Richard, No Methods Zone, July 25, 2019

https://notrickszone.com/2019/07/25/1970s-earth-warmed-Zero-6c-from-1880-1940-and-cooled-Zero-3c-from-1940-1970-now-its-Zero-1c-and-Zero-05c/

After Paris!

China Nonetheless Increasing Coal Energy Capability

By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, July 23, 2019

China Still Expanding Coal Power Capacity

Change in US Administrations

Trump’s plans for improvement at Bears Ears monument sparks condemnation

By Rebecca Beitsch, The Hill, July 26, 2019

https://thehill.com/coverage/energy-environment/454909-trumps-plans-for-development-of-bears-ears-sparks-wide-condemnation

[SEPP Comment: The previous administration’s making a great deal of barren waste into a monument sparked local condemnation, which was ignored by the national press.]

Social Advantages of Carbon Dioxide

Institute for the Human Atmosphere

By Craig Idso, July 27, 2019

http://www.human-environment.org/index.php

Issues within the Orthodoxy

Collapse of Wind Energy Threatens Germany’s Inexperienced Power Transition

By Employees, Die Welt, Trans. Through GWPF, July 26, 2019

Collapse of Wind Power Threatens Germany’s Green Energy Transition

China Power to develop ultra-low emission coal-fired energy: government

By Muyu Xu and David Stanway, Reuters, July 18, 2019

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-power-coal/china-energy-to-expand-ultra-low-emission-coal-fired-power-executive-idUSKCN1UD0J9

[SEPP Comment: Under Mr Obama’s energy plan, such technology was forbidden in the US.]

Searching for a Widespread Floor

“Private observations on the reliability of the Shuttle”

By Richard Feynman, Rogers Fee, Appendix F, June 9, 1986

https://science.ksc.nasa.gov/shuttle/missions/51-l/docs/rogers-commission/Appendix-F.txt

Some local weather alarmists embrace chemtrails

By Lubos Molt, The Reference Body, July 23, 2019

https://motls.blogspot.com/2019/07/some-climate-alarmists-embrace.html

Assessment of Latest Scientific Articles by CO2 Science

Elevated CO2 Helps Mitigate Development Reductions in Pigeonpea Induced by Drought Stress

Sreeharsha, R.V., Mudalkar, S., Sengupta, D., Unnikrishnan, D.Okay. and Reddy, A.R. 2019. Mitigation of drought-induced oxidative harm by enhanced carbon assimilation and an environment friendly antioxidative metabolism underneath excessive CO2 surroundings in pigeonpea (Cajanus cajan L.). Photosynthesis Analysis 139: 425-439. July 25, 2019

http://www.co2science.org/articles/V22/jul/a11.php

The Affect of CO2 and Nitrogen Provide on Rice Yields

Raj, A., Chakrabarti, B., Pathak, H., Singh, S.D., Mina, U. and Purakayastha, T.J. 2019. Development, yield and nitrogen uptake in rice crop grown underneath elevated carbon dioxide and totally different doses of nitrogen fertilizer. Indian Journal of Experimental Biology 57: 181-187. July 24, 2019

http://www.co2science.org/articles/V22/jul/a10.php

The Growing Land Sink of the Northern Hemisphere

Ciais, P., Tan, J., Wang, X., Roedenbeck, C., Chevallier, F., Piao, S.-L., Moriarty, R., Broquet, G., Le Quéré, C., Canadell, J.G., Peng, S., Poulter, B., Liu, Z. and Tans, P. 2019. 5 many years of northern land carbon uptake revealed by the interhemispheric CO2 gradient. Nature 568: 221-225.

http://www.co2science.org/articles/V22/jul/a9.php

Fashions v. Observations

China is warming quickest the place the cities are, not the place the fashions predicted – basic UHI

By Jo Nova, Her Weblog, July 23, 2019

http://joannenova.com.au/2019/07/china-is-warming-fastest-where-the-cities-are-not-where-the-models-predicted-classic-uhi/

[SEPP Comment: Nova notes: Beijing increased from 1.7 million in 1950 to 18.4 million in 2015. Its population grew by about 11 times in 65 years.]

Measurement Points — Floor

Extra Knowledge Shenanigans At NASA. “Unadjusted” Knowledge Get Entire New Definition: No Longer “Uncooked”, However Now “High quality Managed”

By Kirye and P. Gosselin, No Methods Zone, July 23, 2019

More Data Shenanigans At NASA. “Unadjusted” Data Get Whole New Definition: No Longer “Raw”, But Now “Quality Controlled”

City Warmth Island Impact Triggered 50% of Warming in China, New Examine Finds

By Nicola Scafetta and Shenghui Ouyang, GWPF, July 22, 2019

Urban Heat Island Effect Caused 50% of Warming in China, New Study Finds

Hyperlink to paper: Detection of UHI bias in China local weather community utilizing Tmin and Tmax floor temperature divergence

By Nicola Scafetta and Shenghui Ouyang, World and Planetary Change, October 2019

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S092181811930102X?viapercent3Dihub

Cambridge Botanical “Too Compromised” For Climatological Functions

By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, July 27, 2019

Cambridge Botanical “Too Compromised” For Climatological Purposes

Altering Climate

The Different Facet of 1934

By Tony Heller, the Deplorable Local weather Science Weblog, July 27, 2019

https://realclimatescience.com/2019/07/the-other-side-of-1934/

[SEPP Comment: In the northeast US, the winter was extremely cold; in the central US, the summer was extremely hot and dry. Yet the media and many weather stations continue to exclaim that extreme weather is unprecedented.]

Joe Oliver: We must always put together for excessive climate, however tying it to local weather change is a mistake

Even when local weather change had been the supply of utmost climate, Trudeau’s signature carbon answer would make sure to fail

By Joe Oliver, Monetary Put up, Can, July 23, 2019 [H/t GWPF]

https://enterprise.financialpost.com/opinion/joe-oliver-we-should-prepare-for-extreme-weather-but-tying-it-to-climate-change-is-a-mistake

Altering Local weather

Local weather change may revive medieval megadroughts in US Southwest

By Charles the Moderator, WUWT, July 26, 2019

Climate change could revive medieval megadroughts in US Southwest

“By reconstructing aquatic local weather information and sea-surface temperatures from the final 2,000 years, the staff discovered three key elements that led to megadroughts within the American Southwest: radiative forcing, extreme and frequent La Niña occasions — cool tropical Pacific sea floor temperatures that trigger modifications to world climate occasions — and heat circumstances within the Atlantic. Excessive radiative forcing seems to have dried out the American Southwest, possible as a result of a rise in photo voltaic exercise (which might ship extra radiation towards us) and a lower in volcanic exercise (which might admit extra of it) on the time. The ensuing improve in warmth would result in higher evaporation. On the identical time, hotter than regular Atlantic sea-surface temperatures mixed with very robust and frequent La Niñas decreased precipitation within the already dried-out space. Of those three elements, La Niña circumstances had been estimated to be greater than twice as essential in inflicting the megadroughts.”

[SEPP Comment: “During the time of the medieval megadroughts, increased radiative forcing was caused by natural climate variability.” Does one assume reduction in cloudiness?]

Denying 2000 years of the Medieval Heat Interval, Little Ice Age on each continent

Jo Nova, Her Weblog, July 26, 2019

http://joannenova.com.au/2019/07/erasing-2000-years-of-the-medieval-warm-period-little-ice-age-found-on-every-continent/

Altering Seas

Apocalyptic Sea-Stage Rise—Only a Factor of the Previous?

By Gregory Rummo, Townhall, July 23, 2019

https://townhall.com/columnists/gregoryrummo/2019/07/23/apocalyptic-sea-level-risejust-a-thing-of-the-past-n2550424?utm_source=thdaily&utm_medium=electronic mail&utm_campaign=nl&newsletterad=07/23/2019&bcid=600713400c5e414103c69dc935baaf47&recip=4143601

Geothermal ocean warming dialogue thread

By Judith Curry, Local weather And so forth. July 21, 2019

Geothermal ocean warming discussion thread

Hyperlink to publish by Ron Clutz: Overview: Seafloor Eruptions and Ocean Warming

By Ron Clutz, Power Issues, October 5, 2016

Overview: Seafloor Eruptions and Ocean Warming

“1. Is geothermal power sufficient to make a distinction upon the huge ocean warmth capability?

“2. If that’s the case, is geothermal power variable sufficient to create temperature differentials?

“Three. A lot of the ocean ground is unexplored, so how a lot can we generalize from the few locations we’ve studied?”

Thirty years of distinctive information reveal what’s actually killing coral reefs

By Employees Writers, Boca Raton FL (SPX) Jul 22, 2019

http://www.terradaily.com/experiences/Thirty_years_of_unique_data_reveal_whats_really_killing_coral_reefs_999.html

[SEPP Comment: Not CO2-caused climate change, but other human influences such as wastewater and fertilizer runoff. Comments about climate change are obligatory nonsense.]

Acidic Waters

The Whole Fable of Ocean Acidification: Science! Version

By David Middleton, WUWT, July 25, 2019

The Total Myth of Ocean Acidification: Science! Edition

Agriculture Points & Worry of Famine

Local weather disaster wants radical meals modifications

By Tim Radford, Local weather Information Community, Through Physics World, July 19, 2019

Climate crisis needs radical food changes

[SEPP Comment: Oblivious to food production in tropical Brazil, and the benefits of CO2.]

Un-Science or Non-Science?

Joshua timber dealing with extinction

By Employees Writers, Riverside CA (SPX), Jul 22, 2019

http://www.terradaily.com/experiences/Joshua_trees_facing_extinction_999.html

Hyperlink to paper: Congruence between future distribution fashions and empirical information for an iconic species at Joshua Tree Nationwide Park

By Lynn C. Candy, et al., Ecosphere, June Three, 2019

https://esajournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/ecs2.2763

Decreasing Requirements

CNN: Wind Tops Coal in Texas in Three out of 6 Months in 2019

Visitor Information evaluation by David Middleton, WUWT, July 26, 2019

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2019/07/26/cnn-wind-tops-coal-in-texas-in-Three-out-of-6-months-in-2019/

Speaking Higher to the Public – Make issues up.

The pause in world warming reveals CO2 could also be *extra* ! Say hiya to Hyperwarming Weirdness.

By Jo Nova, Her Weblog, July 25, 2019

http://joannenova.com.au/2019/07/the-pause-in-global-warming-shows-co2-may-be-more-powerful-say-hello-to-hyperwarming-wierdness/

Hyperlink to paper: Decadal world temperature variability will increase strongly with local weather sensitivity

By Femke J. M. M. Nijsse, Peter M. Cox, Chris Huntingford & Mark S. Williamson, Nature Local weather Change, July 22, 2019

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-Zero19-0527-Four

[SEPP Comment: Steady increasing CO2 results in increasing and decreasing greenhouse effect?]

Whereas World Temps Soared, Examine Exhibits US Media Protection of Proper-Wing Assume Tanks’ Local weather Lies Really Rose Over Previous 5 Years

“The media mustn’t give these organizations a platform, and if they have to cowl them, do a greater job of alerting readers and viewers who’s funding them.”

By Jessica Corbett, Widespread Goals, July 25, 2019 [[H/t Cooler Heads]

https://www.commondreams.org/information/2019/07/25/while-global-temps-soared-study-shows-us-media-coverage-right-wing-think-tanks

“The mounds of scientific proof that the burning of fossil fuels is overheating our planet, coupled with the information that the fossil gasoline business has funneled cash to assume tanks to fabricate doubt concerning the disaster ought to result in a radical decline within the affect of local weather deniers within the media.”—Allison Fisher, Public Citizen

[SEPP Comment: Global Temps Soared? Reports are not scientific evidence.]

Speaking Higher to the Public – Use Propaganda

Greater than 60 media retailers decide to week of centered local weather protection

By Rachel Frazin, The Hill, July 26, 2019

https://thehill.com/homenews/media/454912-more-than-60-outlets-commit-to-week-of-climate-coverage

“The Guardian earlier this yr additionally modified its type tips to now not confer with ‘local weather change’ however to as a substitute use ‘local weather emergency, disaster or breakdown.’”

[SEPP Comment: Complete with unidentified photo of stuff, probably steam, coming out of chimneys.]

Questioning European Inexperienced

Whereas Boasting About Slicing CO2, Europe In Truth Driving Up Carbon Dioxide Emissions …By TROPICAL DEFORESTATION!

By Employees, Die Kalte Sonne,, Through No Methods Zone, July 26, 2019

While Boasting About Cutting CO2, Europe In Fact Driving Up Carbon Dioxide Emissions …Through TROPICAL DEFORESTATION!

Dominic Lawson: We Don’t Want an Ecological Pol Pot

By Dominic Lawson, The Sunday Occasions, Through GWPF.July 21, 2019

Dominic Lawson: We Don’t Need An Ecological Pol Pot

Germans select fuel-guzzling automobiles, pushing up CO2 emissions

By Benjamin Wehrmann, Clear Power Wire. July 26, 2019

https://www.cleanenergywire.org/information/germans-choose-fuel-guzzling-cars-pushing-co2-emissions

Questioning Inexperienced Elsewhere

Earlier than Saving the Planet, Might We Please Get the Invoice?

By W. David Montgomery & Henry Sokolski, Actual Clear Power, July 24, 2019

https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2019/07/24/before_saving_the_planet_could_we_please_get_the_bill_110460.html

Preserve It within the Floor Insurance policies ‘Not a Good Strategy to Go’

By Nicole Jacobs, Power In Depth, July 19, 2019 [H/t GWPF]

Keep It In the Ground Policies ‘Not a Good Way to Go’

The Political Video games Proceed

Steyer vows to declare local weather change a nationwide emergency as a part of sweeping environmental plan

By Tal Axelrod, The Hill, July 25, 2019

https://thehill.com/homenews/marketing campaign/454830-steyer-vows-to-declare-climate-change-a-national-emergency-as-part-of

[SEPP Comment: What would this major financer of fear of CO2 say about the 1934? See link above under Changing Weather.]

Gillibrand releases $10 trillion local weather change plan

By Rachel Frazin, The Hill, July 25, 2019

https://thehill.com/coverage/energy-environment/454663-gillibrand-releases-10-trillion-climate-change-plan

“The wide-ranging ‘Local weather Change Moonshot Plan’ plan goals to realize net-zero carbon emissions, ‘maintain polluters accountable’ and section out fossil fuels, amongst different objectives.

“‘Local weather change is probably the most critical menace to humanity at present, and we want rapid and daring motion to deal with it earlier than it’s too late,’ she stated within the publish.”

[SEPP Comment; Greater serious threats to humanity are poor-thinking politicians and their pseudo-science experts.]

Litigation Points

Activist Group Suing Power Firms Fully Alters Its Criticism

By Spencer Walrath, Power In Depth, July 25, 2019

Activist Group Suing Energy Companies Completely Alters Its Complaint

Decide cuts Roundup most cancers case payout from $2 billion to $86 million

By John Bowden, The Hill, July 26, 2019

https://thehill.com/coverage/energy-environment/454866-judge-cuts-2-billion-payout-to-87-million-in-roundup-cancer-case

[SEPP Comment: But the advertising by the lawyers hasn’t stopped.]

Cap-and-Commerce and Carbon Taxes

Carbon tax reveals new indicators of life in Congress

By Miranda Inexperienced, The Hill, July 26, 2019

https://thehill.com/coverage/energy-environment/454819-carbon-tax-shows-new-signs-of-life-in-congress

Subsidies and Mandates Endlessly

Onshore wind critic Leadsom is new UK power secretary

Former power minister who stated advantages of onshore generators ‘massively exaggerated’ to guide policy-making

By Andrew Lee, Recharge Wind, July 25, 2019

https://www.rechargenews.com/wind/1828429/onshore-wind-critic-leadsom-is-new-uk-energy-secretary

EPA and different Regulators on the March

Inexperienced teams sue EPA over ‘sweeping overhaul’ of public data coverage

By Miranda Inexperienced, The Hill, July 24, 2019

https://thehill.com/coverage/energy-environment/454545-green-groups-sue-epa-over-sweeping-overhaul-of-public-records

[SEPP Comment: Article fails to discuss how many FOIA requests were treated during the prior administration.]

EXCLUSIVE: Media Requests for EPA Information Soar Below Trump

By Kevin Mooney, Day by day Sign, July 22, 2019

EXCLUSIVE: Media Requests for EPA Records Soar Under Trump

[SEPP Comment: No media questions before?]

Power Points – Non-US

The Actual Knowledge On Power Utilization

By Francis Menton, Manhattan Contrarian, July 24, 2019

https://www.manhattancontrarian.com/weblog/2019-7-24-the-real-data-on-energy-usage

Venezuela’s Oil Manufacturing Might Quickly Fall Under 500,000 Bpd

By Tsvetana Paraskova, Oil Value.com, July 23, 2019

https://oilprice.com/Power/Power-Common/Venezuelas-Oil-Manufacturing-Might-Quickly-Fall-Under-500000-Bpd.html#

[SEPP Comment: Venezuela’s annual crude oil production has been falling since 1997.] https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/element.php?id=35312

Power Points — US

The Jones Act is a lose-lose for Puerto Rico and US LNG

By Philip G. Hoxie, Vincent H. Smith, AEI, July 22, 2019

The Jones Act is a lose-lose for Puerto Rico and US LNG

[SEPP Comment: The 1920s law is damaging LNG trade between US states and territories.]

Oil and Pure Gasoline – the Future or the Previous?

Fracking Firm Hopes for Seismic Change

By Emily Gosden, The Occasions, Through GWPF, July 22, 2019

Fracking Company Hopes for Seismic Change

[SEPP Comment: Shows the exponential relationship between the intensity of an earthquake and the values used in the Richter Scale, often called a logarithmic scale leading to a misunderstanding.]

Various, Inexperienced (“Clear”) Photo voltaic and Wind

Robbins Island Mega wind farm: killing birds and baseload energy at 300 kilometers per hour

By Jo Nova, Her Weblog, July 27, 2019

http://joannenova.com.au/2019/07/robbins-island-mega-wind-farm-killing-birds-and-baseload-power-at-300-kilometers-per-hour/

“Look how erratic that wind is — 90% in the future, zero the subsequent”

“Tom Quirk appeared on the nearest wind farm to Robbins Island, and it’s a fitful machine (see that graph beneath). Worse, it fails in synchrony with most wind farms in Australia. Thus exacerbating the unstable, fickle provide of wind power.”

Remark from a reader: “The entire wind power manufacturing downside is well solved through the use of nuclear powered followers [with huge government subsidies] to blow air on the windmills when Mom Nature isn’t doing her job.”

New York Metropolis’s Rikers Photo voltaic Plan Makes No Sense

By Daniel turner, Actual Clear Power, July 11, 2019

https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2019/07/11/new_york_citys_rikers_solar_plan_makes_no_sense.html

[SEPP Comment: It appears that New York City has become a new dreaming center, competing with California.]

Various, Inexperienced (“Clear”) Automobiles

Main Automakers Cave to California on Trump Auto Rule

By Marlo Lewis, CEI, July 26, 2019

https://cei.org/weblog/major-automakers-cave-california-trump-auto-rule

“The federal Power Coverage and Conservation Act prohibits states from adopting or implementing legal guidelines or laws “associated to” gasoline financial system requirements. If the automakers actually need regulatory certainty and an finish to the patchwork menace, they need to embrace the SAFE rule, which proposes to rescind California’s illegal energy to manage gasoline financial system.”

Economics of Battery-Powered Automobiles

By Donn Dears, Energy For USA, July 23, 2019

Economics of Battery-Powered Vehicles

California Dreaming

Daniel Turner: California’s newest descent into liberal insanity – Berkeley bans pure fuel

By Daniel Turner, Fox Information, July 20, 2019

https://www.foxnews.com/opinion/daniel-turner-berkeley-natural-gas-ban-new-homes-businesses

Well being, Power, and Local weather

By no means Have US Well being Professionals Been So Silly

By Steve Goreham, Information Blaze, July 23, 2019

Never Have US Health Professionals Been So Foolish

Can India kick its coal habit?

By Nell Lewis and John Defterios, CNN, July 11, 2019

https://www.cnn.com/2019/07/11/enterprise/india-energy-coal/index.html

Hyperlink to questionable report: State of World Air, 2019

By Employees, 2019 Well being Results Institute, Boston, Mass. 2019

https://www.stateofglobalair.org/

Environmental Business

Inexperienced Activists With Ties to China Suggested Obama State Division

NRDC’s function in Paris Settlement revealed by FOIA emails

By Kevin Mooney, Washington Free Beacon, July 23, 2019

https://freebeacon.com/points/green-activists-with-ties-to-china-advised-obama-state-department/

Hyperlink to database of Basis Help of Inexperienced Organizations: $Large Inexperienced, Inc.

By Employees, Institute for Power Analysis, Accessed July 23, 2019

Big Green Inc.

BELOW THE BOTTOM LINE:

Scientists honor Iceland’s first glacier misplaced to local weather change with plaque, eulogy

By Rebecca Klar, The Hill, July 21, 2019

https://thehill.com/coverage/energy-environment/454069-scientists-honor-icelands-first-glacier-lost-to-climate-change-with

“Rice College not too long ago introduced researchers will be a part of the Icelandic Mountain climbing Society to disclose the plaque Aug. 18, honoring the melted Okjökull, ‘Okay,’ glacier.]

[SEPP Comment: Did anyone say a eulogy when Manhattan lost its first glacier, or its last one?]

Distinguished German Economist Calls For 20-Hour Work Week, Much less Housing, Actual Position Fashions To Rescue Local weather!

By P Gosselin, No Methods Zone, July 24, 2019

Prominent German Economist Calls For 20-Hour Work Week, Less Housing, Real Role Models To Rescue Climate!

[SEPP Comment: And who provides the food and comforts, the natives of Tahiti?]

ARTICLES

1. A Actuality Examine for Photo voltaic and Wind

All informed, renewables produce a small fraction of latest years’ elevated manufacturing of oil and fuel.

By Robert Bryce, WSJ, July 21, 2019

https://www.wsj.com/articles/a-reality-check-for-solar-and-wind-11563741088

SUMMARY: The senior fellow of the Manhattan Institute asserts that just about all of the candidates to switch Trump have two widespread speaking factors: detest hydrocarbons and love renewables. He continues:

“Democratic contenders want a actuality verify. Regardless of years of federal subsidies, wind and photo voltaic are being trounced by the staggering surge in home oil and natural-gas manufacturing.

“Occidental Petroleum not too long ago agreed to purchase Anadarko Petroleum for $38 billion largely as a result of it coveted Anadarko’s acreage within the Permian Basin, which covers about 75,000 sq. miles of West Texas and jap New Mexico. The primary business nicely within the Permian, the Santa Rita No. 1, blew in close to Large Lake, Texas, in 1923. Regardless of its lengthy historical past, the Permian is now the world’s hottest power play.

“The most recent Power Data Administration information present that since early 2014 oil manufacturing within the Permian has grown to greater than 4 million barrels a day from about 1.5 million. Gasoline manufacturing within the Permian has practically tripled in the identical interval to about 14 billion cubic toes a day from about 5 billion. When it comes to power, 9 billion cubic toes of fuel is equal to 1.5 million barrels of oil. Add the oil and fuel will increase and since 2014 the Permian’s output has jumped by roughly 4 million barrels of oil equal a day.

“Now have a look at photo voltaic and wind. In 2018, in keeping with BP, all U.S. photo voltaic initiatives produced about 441,000 barrels of oil equal a day. The rise in oil and fuel manufacturing from 2014 to at present within the Permian alone is the same as about 9 occasions the output of each photo voltaic undertaking within the U.S. In 2018 home wind manufacturing totaled about 1.Three million barrels of oil equal a day. The rise in Permian oil and fuel manufacturing since 2014 is the same as thrice the annual output of each wind turbine within the nation.

“These numbers are instructive, however that’s solely the Permian. Add manufacturing from all the opposite shale performs—together with the Haynesville, Utica and Marcellus—and complete U.S. oil and fuel manufacturing since 2014 has jumped by about 5.7 million barrels of oil equal a day. That signifies that over the previous half-decade alone U.S. oil and fuel manufacturing has elevated by roughly 13 occasions the whole output of all home photo voltaic initiatives and greater than 4 occasions the whole output of each wind turbine within the nation.

“Renewable-energy promoters by no means tire of touting the rising output and declining value of photo voltaic and wind. These claims could also be true. However simple arithmetic reveals that oil and fuel are leaving photo voltaic and wind within the shade.”

******************

2. ‘The Climate Machine’ Assessment: The Way forward for the Forecast

Climate prognostications signify 150 years of open worldwide cooperation. However with the privatization of knowledge, there are darkish skies forward.

By Howard Schneider, WSJ, July 21, 2019

https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-weather-machine-review-the-future-of-the-forecast-11563738764

SUMMARY: The e book reviewer writes:

“The longer term is usually portrayed, in books and in articles, as being overrun by the sinister penalties of robotics and synthetic intelligence. In ‘The Climate Machine: A Journey Contained in the Forecast,’ Andrew Blum gives a reassuring counterpoint to such technodystopias. Climate forecasting ‘is a marvel we deal with as a banality,’ Mr. Blum tells us. ‘It marks a excessive level of science and expertise’s aspirations for society, however like a variety of issues as of late, its advanced inside workings are usually not solely mysterious however hidden beneath a veneer of simplicity.’

“The e book is a chronicle and celebration of meteorology. The creator traces trendy climate science again to the primary half of the 19th century, when lots of the instruments and signifies that would permit scientists to scrutinize the local weather and disseminate their findings had been being invented, amongst them synoptic climate charts, improved anemometers to measure wind velocity, and professional climate observers—but in addition Samuel Morse’s telegraph, which introduced forecasting to a pioneering new stage. ‘ ‘The climate’ now not merely described the circumstances at a selected place on earth however climate patterns that stretched hundreds of miles,’ Mr. Blum writes. The climate grew to become ‘a rationally and imaginatively constructed imaginative and prescient stretching broadly throughout the land.’ Briefly, meteorology had entered the commercial period.

“The 19th century not solely engendered inventors like Morse and scientists just like the Norwegian Vilhelm Bjerknes, whose groundbreaking work utilized the ideas of physics to an examination of the environment, but in addition began the bureaucratization of meteorology. ‘Forms’ often has ominous connotations, however right here it allowed scientists to share info, theories and discoveries far more easily than earlier than. Mr. Blum tells us that ‘the primary congress of what grew to become the Worldwide Meteorological Group met in Vienna in 1873. Thirty-two representatives of twenty governments attended. They had been primarily scientists and administrators of climate bureaus. . . . Their elementary undertaking was to start the worldwide change of climate observations.’

“As expertise superior, weather-research devices adopted apace: more and more refined buoys, thermometers and barometers, finally adopted by satellites and instrumented balloons. Climate satellites—the U.S. launched the primary one in 1960—had been actually revolutionary. Specifically, the satellites orbiting the poles, projecting ‘10,000 channels of infrared and radar soundings, shot from house by means of the clouds, [are] the game-changing observatories of at present’s forecasts.’ Now we’ve ‘supercomputers and a purpose-built telecommunications system to tie all of it collectively,’ Mr. Blum writes. He notes that climate satellites had been initially and inextricably linked to Chilly Warfare realpolitik, the place ‘army makes use of justified the meteorological efforts.’ Certainly, probably the most suggestive conclusions of this e book is that climate forecasting is formed by society’s bigger agendas.

“At this time the organizational epicenter of state-of-the-art meteorology is the European Heart for Medium-Vary Climate Forecasts. Opened for enterprise in 1979, this ‘forecast manufacturing facility’ is situated in Studying, England, and is funded by 22 European member-nations. With regards to world climate fashions, the middle’s model ‘is king,’ Mr. Blum says, superior to the one produced by the U.S. Nationwide Climate Service. One spotlight of the e book is Mr. Blum’s go to to the middle’s headquarters. The info-crunching prowess of its two Cray supercomputers is spectacular to the purpose of being intimidating. ‘On the time I visited,’ Mr. Blum writes, the computer systems ‘had 260,000 processor cores, able to conducting 90 trillion calculations per second,’ they usually ‘ingested 40 million climate observations a day.’

“The European Heart is a splendid instance of how expertise can unite us. However, Mr. Blum has forebodings of potential issues on the horizon. ‘There’s the chance,’ he tells us, ‘that billions of tiny temperature and barometric sensors—in smartphones, residence units, hooked up to buildings, buses or airliners—may meaningfully compete with the [current] comparatively few and thoroughly constructed climate stations.’ In that occasion, he asks, ‘Who would personal the info? Authorities climate providers have a hundred-and-fifty-year historical past of sharing their information and giving their providers away at no cost. But when observations are being made by non-public networks and aggregated by the Googles, IBMs or Amazons of the world, that openness can now not be assumed.’ [SEPP Comment: This is a concern, but so the deliberate manipulation of historical data by government entities entrusted with the data.]

“In his overview of 19th-century climate scientists, Mr. Blum surprisingly omits the distinguished British meteorologist James Glaisher, who risked his life to acquire information by hovering aloft in a balloon. Mr. Blum additionally mistakenly states that Nazi Germany’s try to put in ‘a clandestine intercontinental automated climate station’ in Canada was ‘the one recognized Nazi incursion on North American soil.’ In reality, Nazi saboteurs additionally landed in New York and Florida. Lastly, the e book provides a relatively perfunctory account of local weather change—which is startling, since local weather change may, conceivably, profoundly alter our tradition, our lives, our planet’s very geography.

“I finish with a caveat: Climate prognostication continues to enhance, however isn’t excellent and, if I perceive Mr. Blum accurately, it in all probability by no means might be. Higher to maintain a humorousness—and people umbrellas—useful endlessly.”

Like this:

Like Loading…

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *